Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele Premier Soccer League prediction & result
Final score: Mamelodi Sundowns 3-0 Siwelele.
Before kick-off the model made it 54% Mamelodi Sundowns, 24% draw, 22% Siwelele — fair odds of 1.85, 4.17 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Mamelodi Sundowns at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 30R. WilliamsG
- 28Z. MdunyelwaD
- 42M. KhozaD
- 3K. NdamaneD
- 6A. ModibaD
- 21S. MkhuliseM
- 4T. MokoenaM
- 43K. LethlakuM
- 33C. MailulaM
- 29A. van WykM
- 12B. LeonF
- 31R. GossG
- 40M. MvalaD
- 27T. MorenaD
- 23F. BasadienD
- 11M. AllendeM
- 38S. Ndlovu
- 18T. ZwaneM
- 13I. RaynersF
- 17T. MatthewsF
- 50W. MthombeniG
- 2Y. MfoloziD
- 4T. SesaneD
- 33S. NdebeleD
- 29A. BalitiD
- 8R. MokhuoaneM
- 26S. KobediM
- 7N. MokhachaneM
- 6S. RasebotjaM
- 10M. PuleM
- 11C. SaileF
- 30S. XuluG
- 80N. NgcoboD
- 21B. SabreM
- 36T. R. LetshediM
- 16T. PotsaneM
- 19H. IssahF
- 12M. MazibukoM
- 17S. JezaF
- 28M. N'GuessanF
Form going into Mamelodi Sundowns vs Siwelele
Mamelodi Sundowns
Premier Soccer League
- W2-1away to Golden Arrows6 September 2026
Siwelele
Premier Soccer League
- L2-3away to Kaizer Chiefs6 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Soccer League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mamelodi Sundowns | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 27 | 9 | +18 | 26 |
| 14 | Siwelele | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 6 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: Mamelodi Sundowns and Siwelele
Mamelodi Sundowns
GoalsAssists
- I. Rayners40
- T. Matthews34
- B. León31
Siwelele
No player in Premier Soccer League's leading scorers — 9 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Mamelodi Sundowns beat Siwelele 3–0. The model had made a win for Mamelodi Sundowns its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: K. Lethlaku 58' for Mamelodi Sundowns, S. Ndlovu 79' for Mamelodi Sundowns, T. Matthews 90' for Mamelodi Sundowns. On expected goals it finished 2.57–0.30.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.