Moreirense vs Benfica Primeira Liga prediction & result
Final score: Moreirense 0-4 Benfica.
Before kick-off the model made it 21% Moreirense, 25% draw, 54% Benfica — fair odds of 4.76, 4.00 and 1.85.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Benfica at 54%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Moreirense vs Benfica
Line-ups
- 13André FerreiraG
- 76Dinis PintoD
- 66Gilberto BatistaD
- 26MaracásD
- 27KikoD
- 23N. JohnM
- 8M. StjepanovićM
- 7Manuel Ascenção Bebiano MendonçaM
- 21Rodri AlonsoM
- 11LandersonM
- 9A. Duville-ParsemainF
- 1AranhaG
- 19Tiago AndradeF
- 25Afonso AssisM
- 99MaranhãoF
- 17Álvaro MartínezD
- 4Kevyn MonteiroD
- 10Kiko BondosoF
- 28Chipyoka SongaF
- 79L. VonićF
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 58Daniel BanjaquiD
- 44Tomás AraújoD
- 2C. LengletD
- 26S. DahlD
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 18L. BarreiroM
- 27RafaM
- 25G. PrestianniM
- 21A. SchjelderupM
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 3A. CircatiD
- 5E. BarrenecheaM
- 22J. DuránF
- 30C. EcheverriM
- 34S. El KarouaniD
- 72A. CabralF
- 13J. KamińskiM
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 16ManuM
Form going into Moreirense vs Benfica
Moreirense
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to FC Porto4 September 2026
- W1-0away to Casa Pia30 August 2026
- L0-4away to Arouca16 August 2026
- D2-2SC Braga9 August 2026
Benfica
All competitions we cover
- W3-0away to Maritimo5 September 2026
- W2-1Estoril31 August 2026
- W3-1away to Aarhus27 August 2026
- W3-1Aarhus20 August 2026
- W7-0away to Casa Pia17 August 2026
What these results say
- Moreirense failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Moreirense scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Moreirense conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Benfica won every one of these 5 matches.
- Benfica scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for Benfica had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Primeira Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Moreirense | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 14 |
| 2 | Benfica | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 10 | +20 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Moreirense vs Benfica
- 25 April 2026Benfica 4–1 MoreirensePrimeira Liga
- 14 December 2025Moreirense 0–4 BenficaPrimeira Liga
- 8 February 2025Benfica 3–2 MoreirensePrimeira Liga
- 30 August 2024Moreirense 1–1 BenficaPrimeira Liga
- 14 April 2024Benfica 3–0 MoreirensePrimeira Liga
Leading scorers: Moreirense and Benfica
Moreirense
GoalsAssists
- N. John30
Benfica
GoalsAssists
- V. Pavlidis113
- G. Prestianni74
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Benfica won 4–0 at Moreirense. The model had made a win for Benfica its most likely outcome, at 54%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Vangelis Pavlidis (penalty) 45+4' for Benfica, Andreas Schjelderup 55' for Benfica, Gianluca Prestianni 59' for Benfica, Fredrik Aursnes 72' for Benfica.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.