Moldova vs Faroe Islands UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands.
Before kick-off the model made it 27% Moldova, 29% draw, 44% Faroe Islands — fair odds of 3.70, 3.45 and 2.27.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Faroe Islands at 44%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Moldova vs Faroe Islands
Line-ups
- 12D. CeleadnicG
- 5C. CucoșD
- 18I. IovuD
- 6M. GherasimencovD
- 16D. ForovM
- 14V. RăileanuM
- 4V. BabogloM
- 11V. StînăM
- 2O. ReabciukM
- 21D. MandrîcencoM
- 15Petru PopescuF
- 20N. CleșcencoF
- 10Ș. BodișteanuM
- 13S. CojocariM
- 17O. DavidM
- 8C. DrosM
- 19D. DumbrăvanuD
- 23A. KozhukharG
- 7N. MoțpanM
- 9S. PerciunM
- 1M. LamhaugeG
- 19J. BenjaminsenD
- 4S. ChukwudiD
- 16G. VatnhamarD
- 5A. EdmundssonD
- 3V. í DavidsenD
- 10Á. SamuelsenM
- 22M. HellisdalM
- 21G. TuriM
- 20H. SørensenM
- 17A. JustinussenF
- 9J. NielsenF
- 12A. PetersenG
- 23B. ReynatrodG
- 8H. VatnsdalD
- 14P. KallsbergF
- 15O. FærøD
- 13M. AgnarssonD
- 2J. DanielsenD
- 11P. KnudsenM
Form going into Moldova vs Faroe Islands
Moldova
UEFA Nations League
- L0-2away to Slovakia26 September 2026
Faroe Islands
UEFA Nations League
- D1-1Kazakhstan26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Moldova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 7 |
| 3 | Faroe Islands | 5 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Moldova vs Faroe Islands
- 10 September 2023Faroe Islands 0–1 MoldovaEuro Championship - Qualification
- 24 March 2023Moldova 1–1 Faroe IslandsEuro Championship - Qualification
- 7 September 2021Faroe Islands 2–1 MoldovaWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
- 25 March 2021Moldova 1–1 Faroe IslandsWorld Cup - Qualification Europe
Leading scorers: Moldova and Faroe Islands
Moldova
GoalsAssists
- Petru Popescu30
Faroe Islands
No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Moldova and Faroe Islands drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Faroe Islands at 44% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Viljormur Davidsen (penalty) 26' for Faroe Islands, Sergiu Perciun 66' for Moldova.