Scotland vs Switzerland UEFA Nations League prediction & result
Final score: Scotland 0-3 Switzerland.
Before kick-off the model made it 22% Scotland, 26% draw, 52% Switzerland — fair odds of 4.55, 3.85 and 1.92.
Most likely scoreline: 0-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Switzerland at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Scotland vs Switzerland
Line-ups
- 1A. GunnG
- 13J. HendryD
- 16S. McKennaD
- 4L. BinksD
- 22N. PattersonM
- 19L. FergusonM
- 8B. GilmourM
- 3A. RobertsonM
- 7J. McGinnM
- 20K. BowieF
- 9O. McBurnieF
- 11R. ChristieM
- 15J. McPakeF
- 23Kristi MontgomeryM
- 14L. MillerM
- 21S. BainG
- 6J. DoigD
- 17B. DoakF
- 10R. UreF
- 5S. WelshD
- 1G. KobelG
- 16Z. AthekameD
- 4N. ElvediD
- 5M. AkanjiD
- 13R. RodríguezD
- 8R. FreulerM
- 14A. JashariM
- 20M. AebischerM
- 9J. ManzambiM
- 11D. NdoyeM
- 10Z. AmdouniF
- 2S. BritschgiD
- 18E. CömertD
- 17C. IttenF
- 21M. KellerG
- 12Y. MvogoG
- 22F. RiederM
- 23A. SanchesM
- 7I. SchmidtD
- 6V. SierroM
Form going into Scotland vs Switzerland
Scotland
UEFA Nations League
- D0-0away to Slovenia26 September 2026
Switzerland
UEFA Nations League
- W3-0away to North Macedonia26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
UEFA Nations League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Scotland | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 7 |
| 1 | Switzerland | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 1 | +10 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Scotland vs Switzerland
- 19 June 2024Scotland 1–1 SwitzerlandEuro Championship
Leading scorers: Scotland and Switzerland
Scotland
No player in UEFA Nations League's leading scorers — 5 league goals as a side.
Switzerland
GoalsAssists
- Z. Amdouni31
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Switzerland won 3–0 at Scotland. The model had made a win for Switzerland its most likely outcome, at 52%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: Ricardo Rodríguez 12' for Switzerland, Nico Elvedi 55' for Switzerland, Zeki Amdouni 82' for Switzerland. Sent off: Jack Hendry (Scotland) 11'.