Montpellier vs Boulogne Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Montpellier 0-0 Boulogne.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Montpellier, 24% draw, 17% Boulogne — fair odds of 1.69, 4.17 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Montpellier at 59% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Montpellier vs Boulogne
Montpellier
- W1-0away to Dunkerque21 August 2026
- W1-0away to Nancy14 August 2026
Boulogne
- D1-1RED Star FC 9321 August 2026
- L0-1away to Guingamp14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 11 |
| 14 | Boulogne | 6 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Montpellier vs Boulogne
- 16 January 2026Boulogne 1–0 MontpellierLigue 2
- 23 September 2025Montpellier 1–3 BoulogneLigue 2