Montpellier vs Boulogne Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Montpellier 0-0 Boulogne.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% Montpellier, 24% draw, 17% Boulogne — fair odds of 1.69, 4.17 and 5.88.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Montpellier at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Montpellier vs Boulogne
Line-ups
- 31S. NgapandouetnbuG
- 3N. El HannachD
- 15J. LaporteD
- 27D. MeddahD
- 17T. Sainte-LuceD
- 5F. TardieuM
- 32H. AbderrebiM
- 18N. PaysM
- 40N. Vidal-CartouxM
- 19N. MukieleM
- 9L. Megnan-PaveF
- 1M. MichelG
- 35M. ChambonD
- 90G. AyemM
- 77Everson JrM
- 7Y. IssoufouF
- 23D. BenlahlouF
- 34T. DialloD
- 99B. NoukeuG
- 21A. PlatretD
- 18D. ThiamD
- 25A. KerriouD
- 20T. BruscoD
- 12J. BoyerD
- 14J. BultelM
- 19N. BinetM
- 64T. EpaillyM
- 10A. HbouchF
- 17B. BesicF
- 1X. LenogueG
- 15A. PinotD
- 26O. LenneD
- 8J. MartinM
- 36M. SoumahM
- 11N. FatarF
- 7A. NassiriM
Form going into Montpellier vs Boulogne
Montpellier
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to Dunkerque21 August 2026
- W1-0away to Nancy14 August 2026
- D1-1Dijon8 August 2026
Boulogne
All competitions we cover
- D1-1RED Star FC 9321 August 2026
- L0-1away to Guingamp14 August 2026
- D0-0Nancy8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Montpellier | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +9 | 24 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Montpellier vs Boulogne
- 16 January 2026Boulogne 1–0 MontpellierLigue 2
- 23 September 2025Montpellier 1–3 BoulogneLigue 2
Leading scorers: Montpellier and Boulogne
Montpellier
GoalsAssists
- N. Pays52
- Lacine Megnan-Pave42
Boulogne
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 10 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Montpellier and Boulogne drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Montpellier at 59% and given a draw 24%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. Sent off: Théo Brusco (Boulogne) 80'.