Nancy vs Dunkerque Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: Nancy 2-0 Dunkerque.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Nancy, 25% draw, 30% Dunkerque — fair odds of 2.22, 4.00 and 3.33.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Nancy at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Nancy vs Dunkerque
Line-ups
- 1E. BasilioG
- 4N. FernandezD
- 77Y. NahounouD
- 21E. MendyD
- 44E. TacafredD
- 70N. KandilM
- 6K. KebeM
- 8W. BouabdelliM
- 7Z. FdaouchM
- 9I. HousniF
- 20B. BokanguF
- 30G. LembetG
- 22L. NdenbeD
- 14N. Saint-RufD
- 2H. TavaresD
- 17M. FofanaM
- 45C. El HansarM
- 10A. DabasseF
- 29N. ObougouF
- 12E. H. Raheriniaina
- 16M. PrevotG
- 27A. LinguetD
- 26O. SanganteD
- 4B. LagaeD
- 24L. VallierD
- 29M. DecherfM
- 6J. MorelM
- 93A. DahoM
- 10A. LebeauM
- 19S. KeitaM
- 9T. RobinetF
- 73MohaG
- 2O. ToureD
- 22V. MayelaD
- 11E. PrutsevM
- 18T. MassockM
- 25F. AtoenM
- 7K. AyariF
- 94E. MayillaF
- 17P. M. DiengM
Form going into Nancy vs Dunkerque
Nancy
All competitions we cover
- W1-0away to PAU21 August 2026
- L0-1Montpellier14 August 2026
- D0-0away to Boulogne8 August 2026
Dunkerque
All competitions we cover
- L0-1Montpellier21 August 2026
- D3-3away to Reims14 August 2026
- W4-2Grenoble8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Nancy | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 9 | +8 | 25 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 15 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Nancy vs Dunkerque
- 9 May 2026Nancy 3–2 DunkerqueLigue 2
- 22 August 2025Dunkerque 1–3 NancyLigue 2
- 3 February 2023Dunkerque 2–3 NancyLigue 3
- 26 August 2022Nancy 1–2 DunkerqueLigue 3
- 19 February 2022Nancy 2–0 DunkerqueLigue 2
- 11 September 2021Dunkerque 0–0 NancyLigue 2
Leading scorers: Nancy and Dunkerque
Nancy
No player in Ligue 2's leading scorers — 17 league goals as a side.
Dunkerque
GoalsAssists
- E. Prutsev32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Nancy beat Dunkerque 2–0. The model had made a win for Nancy its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: N. Fernandez 45' for Nancy, B. Bokangu 62' for Nancy. Sent off: Maxence Prévot (Dunkerque) 30'.