19 September 2026, 18:15 UTC

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Motor Lublin Arena, Lublin
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Motor Lublin 0-0 Gornik Zabrze.

Before kick-off the model made it 35% Motor Lublin, 29% draw, 36% Gornik Zabrze — fair odds of 2.86, 3.45 and 2.78.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Gornik Zabrze at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Motor Lublin4%Draw92%Gornik Zabrze4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Ivo Rodrigues
22'
🔁Ivo Rodriguesout: Mateusz Legowski
34'
Mariusz Misiura
35'
48'
Rafał Janicki
53'
Janis Antiste
63'
🔁Janis Antisteout: Erik Prekop
71'
🔁Kacper Urbanskiout: Paulo Bernardo
🔁Mbaye Jacques Ndiayeout: Rony Lopes
72'
🔁Makan Aikoout: Fabio Ronaldo Costa Conceicao
72'
82'
🔁Maksym Khlanout: Zeidane Inoussa
83'
🔁Peter Federico González Carmonaout: Yvan Ikia Dimi
90+1'
Yvan Ikia Dimi
Marek Kristian Bartos
90+3'
🔁Kamil Lukoszekout: Paskal Konrad Meyer
90+8'

Match stats — Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze

46%Possession54%
14Shots13
3On target2
2Corners3

Line-ups

Motor Lublin 4-1-4-1
  • 33G. TratnikG
  • 17K. LukoszekD
  • 18B. BereszyńskiD
  • 39M. BartošD
  • 24F. LubereckiD
  • 27Y. BourhaneM
  • 30M. NdiayeM
  • 8C. SimonM
  • 7Ivo RodriguesM
  • 70M. AïkoM
  • 10K. CzubakF
Substitutes
  • 5A. AkatovD
  • 47Alioune TallM
  • 11Fábio RonaldoM
  • 90Dominik GregorskiF
  • 23F. HaxhaM
  • 6M. ŁęgowskiM
  • 2Paskal Konrad MeyerD
  • 4T. PlavotićD
  • 71M. PopaG
Coach: M. Misiura
Gornik Zabrze 4-3-3
  • 1P. SchulzeG
  • 61M. SáčekD
  • 26R. JanickiD
  • 20Josema SánchezD
  • 21O. ZmrzlýD
  • 82K. UrbańskiM
  • 6M. HøjholtM
  • 14J. KubickiM
  • 19PeterF
  • 9J. AntisteF
  • 33M. KhlanF
Substitutes
  • 2P. WarczakD
  • 18L. SadílekM
  • 11E. PrekopF
  • 99T. LoskaG
  • 23S. LisethF
  • 27Z. InoussaF
  • 7Y. Ikia DimiM
  • 28B. DonioM
  • 4P. BochniewiczD
Coach: M. Gašparík

Form going into Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze

Motor Lublin

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Raków Częstochowa11 September 2026
  • L2-3Legia Warszawa5 September 2026
  • L0-2Piast Gliwice29 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Korona Kielce22 August 2026
  • W1-0GKS Katowice16 August 2026

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions we cover

  • W2-1Lech Poznan12 September 2026
  • W1-0away to Cracovia Krakow6 September 2026
  • W2-1away to Raków Częstochowa3 September 2026
  • L2-3GKS Katowice30 August 2026
  • L1-4away to Monaco27 August 2026

What these results say

  • Motor Lublin failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Motor Lublin scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Motor Lublin conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Gornik Zabrze scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Gornik Zabrze conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Gornik Zabrze had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10Motor Lublin145452224-219
2Gornik Zabrze149412312+1131

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze

  • 8 March 2026Motor Lublin 0–0 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa
  • 30 August 2025Gornik Zabrze 0–1 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • 15 March 2025Gornik Zabrze 4–0 Motor LublinEkstraklasa
  • 13 September 2024Motor Lublin 1–0 Gornik ZabrzeEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Motor Lublin and Gornik Zabrze

Motor Lublin

GoalsAssists

  • K. Czubak70
  • M. Ndiaye43

Gornik Zabrze

GoalsAssists

  • K. Urbański51

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Motor Lublin and Gornik Zabrze drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Gornik Zabrze at 36% and given a draw 29%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one.

How the call on Motor Lublin v Gornik Zabrze has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 38% / 29% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 10 updates, it read 35% / 29% / 36%: the biggest move is Motor Lublin's chance of winning, down 3 points.

  1. Motor Lublin win35%▼ −3
  2. Draw29%=
  3. Gornik Zabrze win36%▲ +3

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.