19 September 2026, 15:00 UTC

Novi Pazar vs Zemun Super Liga prediction & result

Gradski Stadion, Novi Pazar
Full time2 – 2

Final score: Novi Pazar 2-2 Zemun.

Before kick-off the model made it 43% Novi Pazar, 30% draw, 27% Zemun — fair odds of 2.33, 3.33 and 3.70.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Novi Pazar at 43%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Novi Pazar96%Draw4%Zemun0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Adem Ljajićassist: Tomislav Dadic
15'
27'
🔁Ognjen Ilicout: Đorđe Petrović
45'
🔁zarko bogdanovicout: Milan Jokić
45'
🔁Dimitrije Tabakovićout: nemanja kalat
48'
⚽Vasilije Bakićassist: nemanja belakovic
54'
Aleksandar kadijevic
🔁Fejsal Mulicout: Haris Kadric
61'
⚽Aleksandar Miljkovićassist: Tomislav Dadic
63'
Tomislav Dadic
64'
69'
🔁Marko Saricout: novak petrusic
Aleksandar Miljković
70'
🔁Dominic Sadiout: Johnson Agwom Dauda
74'
🔁Adem Ljajićout: Skima Togbe
74'
80'
🔁Mykhailo Meskhiout: Godswill Vadze
82'
Milan Jokić
🔁Ivan Davidovicout: Nikola Stanković
86'
Tomislav Dadic
89'
90+3'
⚽Đorđe Petrovićassist: Godswill Vadze
90+4'
Đorđe Petrović

Match stats — Novi Pazar vs Zemun

55%Possession45%
19Shots7
7On target4
7Corners4

Line-ups

Novi Pazar 4-2-3-1
  • 1Bogdan MatijaševićG
  • 2A. MiljkovićD
  • 5S. MelentijevićD
  • 23J. MarinkovićD
  • 50T. DadićD
  • 6P. GadioM
  • 24I. DavidovićM
  • 10D. SadiM
  • 22A. LjajićM
  • 20K. DixonM
  • 99F. MulićF
Substitutes
  • 4Allan De LeónD
  • 70D. JankovićM
  • 26D. Johnson AgwomF
  • 18H. KadrićF
  • 3V. MirosavićD
  • 12M. PrekovićG
  • 11Nikola SkrobonjaM
  • 14N. StankovicM
  • 8Skima TogbeM
Coach: Strahinja Pandurovic
Zemun 4-1-4-1
  • 1M. KneževićG
  • 11S. KnezevicD
  • 21I. OstojićD
  • 66V. BakićD
  • 88A. KadijevićD
  • 32M. MeskhiM
  • 7Dimitrije TabakovićM
  • 6Z. BogdanovicM
  • 8O. IlićM
  • 10N. BelakovićM
  • 45M. ŠarićF
Substitutes
  • 16M. SpremoD
  • 75I. PesicF
  • 9N. PetrusicF
  • 20D. PetrovicM
  • 25D. ParađinaD
  • 29A. MilosevicD
  • 19G. VadzeF
  • 31N. KalatM
  • 5Đ. JovanovićD
Coach: Gjorgji Mojsov

Form going into Novi Pazar vs Zemun

Novi Pazar

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Cukaricki12 September 2026
  • W2-0Železničar Pančevo4 September 2026
  • D1-1Macva29 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Radnik Surdulica23 August 2026
  • W2-0Vojvodina17 August 2026

Zemun

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Radnik Surdulica14 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Vojvodina6 September 2026
  • L0-2FK Crvena Zvezda30 August 2026
  • L0-1away to OFK Beograd22 August 2026
  • L0-1Mladost Lucani16 August 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for Novi Pazar had two goals or fewer.
  • Novi Pazar scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Zemun did not win any of these 5 matches.
  • Zemun conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Zemun had two goals or fewer.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8Novi Pazar155461516-119
14Zemun151410829-217

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Novi Pazar vs Zemun

  • 2 March 2020Zemun 1–1 Novi PazarPrva Liga
  • 15 September 2019Novi Pazar 2–1 ZemunPrva Liga

Leading scorers: Novi Pazar and Zemun

Novi Pazar

GoalsAssists

  • K. Dixon52

Zemun

No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Novi Pazar and Zemun drew 2–2. The model had leaned towards a win for Novi Pazar at 43% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Adem Ljajić 15' for Novi Pazar, Vasilije Bakić 48' for Zemun, Aleksandar Miljković 63' for Novi Pazar, Đorđe Petrović 90+3' for Zemun. Sent off: Tomislav Dadic (Novi Pazar) 89'.

How the call on Novi Pazar v Zemun has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 55% / 27% / 18% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 13 updates, it read 43% / 30% / 27%: the biggest move is Novi Pazar's chance of winning, down 12 points.

  1. Novi Pazar win43%▼ −12
  2. Draw30%▲ +3
  3. Zemun win27%▲ +9

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.