19 September 2026, 15:30 UTC

GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion miejski w Katowicach, Katowice
Full time3 – 2

Final score: GKS Katowice 3-2 Cracovia Krakow.

Before kick-off the model made it 41% GKS Katowice, 28% draw, 31% Cracovia Krakow — fair odds of 2.44, 3.57 and 3.23.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

GKS Katowice at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

GKS Katowice5%Draw92%Cracovia Krakow3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

45'
🔁Mauro Perkovićout: Vincent Burlet
46'
⚽Martin Minchevassist: Ajdin Hasić
•Marcin Wasielewski
52'
⚽Bartosz Nowak (pen)
54'
55'
Mohamed Berte
🔁Szymon bartlewiczout: Marcel Wedrychowski
62'
⚽Mateusz Wdowiak
62'
63'
🔁Mohamed Berteout: Lasse Selvåg Nordås
63'
🔁Mateusz Klichout: Dominik Baumgartner
70'
🔁Gustav Henrikssonout: sayfallah ltaief
72'
⚽Lasse Selvåg Nordåsassist: sayfallah ltaief
Marcel Wedrychowski
74'
🔁Mateusz·Kowalczykout: Bartosz Wolski
76'
🔁Marcin Wasielewskiout: Erik Jirka
76'
77'
sayfallah ltaief
79'
🔁Ajdin Hasićout: Otar Kakabadze
🔁Alan Czerwińskiout: Marius Berntsen Olsen
85'
🔁Mateusz Wdowiakout: Borja Galan
85'
⚽Ilia Shkurinassist: Borja Galan
90'

Match stats — GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow

63%Possession37%
22Shots16
5On target3
3Corners1

Line-ups

GKS Katowice 3-4-3
  • 87G. KobylakG
  • 55Pau RestaD
  • 6L. KlemenzD
  • 30A. CzerwińskiD
  • 23M. WasielewskiM
  • 19K. ŁukasiakM
  • 77M. KowalczykM
  • 31S. BartlewiczM
  • 7M. WdowiakF
  • 17I. ShkurinF
  • 27B. NowakF
Substitutes
  • 8Borja GalánM
  • 4A. JędrychD
  • 97E. JirkaM
  • 1M. KikolskiG
  • 21Jakub KokosinskiF
  • 15E. MarkovićM
  • 22S. MilewskiM
  • 14M. OlsenD
  • 10M. WędrychowskiM
Coach: R. Górak
Cracovia Krakow 4-2-3-1
  • 13S. MadejskiG
  • 79D. PiłaD
  • 4G. HenrikssonD
  • 61B. TraoréD
  • 39M. PerkovićD
  • 43M. KlichM
  • 6Amir Al AmmariM
  • 14A. HasićM
  • 20K. KnapM
  • 17M. MinchevM
  • 90M. BerteF
Substitutes
  • 91A. BobekG
  • 18Kahveh ZahiroleslamF
  • 92Mateusz SkoczylasM
  • 11L. NordåsF
  • 47S. LtaiefF
  • 70D. KameriM
  • 25O. KakabadzeD
  • 15K. GlikD
  • 29W. DejM
Coach: B. Grzelak

Form going into GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow

GKS Katowice

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2away to Zaglebie Lubin12 September 2026
  • L0-3away to Piast Gliwice4 September 2026
  • W3-2away to Gornik Zabrze30 August 2026
  • W5-0Wisla Plock23 August 2026
  • L0-1away to Motor Lublin16 August 2026

Cracovia Krakow

All competitions we cover

  • L1-3away to Wisla Plock13 September 2026
  • L0-1Gornik Zabrze6 September 2026
  • L1-2away to Radomiak Radom29 August 2026
  • W3-2Wieczysta Kraków21 August 2026
  • W2-1Raków Częstochowa16 August 2026

What these results say

  • GKS Katowice conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for GKS Katowice had three goals or more.
  • Cracovia Krakow conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Cracovia Krakow scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for Cracovia Krakow had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8GKS Katowice147072520+521
15Cracovia Krakow143381623-712

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow

  • 21 March 2026Cracovia Krakow 1–0 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa
  • 19 September 2025GKS Katowice 0–3 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 11 May 2025GKS Katowice 2–1 Cracovia KrakowEkstraklasa
  • 9 November 2024Cracovia Krakow 3–4 GKS KatowiceEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: GKS Katowice and Cracovia Krakow

GKS Katowice

GoalsAssists

  • I. Shkurin82
  • B. Nowak78

Cracovia Krakow

GoalsAssists

  • A. Hasić72

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

GKS Katowice beat Cracovia Krakow 3–2. The model had made a win for GKS Katowice its most likely outcome, at 41%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Martin Minchev 46' for Cracovia Krakow, Bartosz Nowak (penalty) 54' for GKS Katowice, Mateusz Wdowiak 62' for GKS Katowice, Lasse Selvåg Nordås 72' for Cracovia Krakow, Ilia Shkurin 90' for GKS Katowice.

How the call on GKS Katowice v Cracovia Krakow has moved

First published on 5 Sep at 35% / 29% / 36% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 41% / 28% / 31%: the biggest move is GKS Katowice's chance of winning, up 6 points.

  1. GKS Katowice win41%▲ +6
  2. Draw28%▼ −1
  3. Cracovia Krakow win31%▼ −5

Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.