28 August 2026, 18:30 UTC

Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion Wojska Polskiego, Warsaw
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Legia Warszawa 1-1 Slask Wroclaw.

Before kick-off the model made it 52% Legia Warszawa, 25% draw, 23% Slask Wroclaw — fair odds of 1.92, 4.00 and 4.35.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Legia Warszawa at 52%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Legia Warszawa0%Draw5%Slask Wroclaw95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁A. Jedrzejczykout: B. Kapustka
2'
33'
•Piotr Samiec-Talar
35'
⚽P. Samiec-Talar (pen)
41'
Eniss Shabani
🔁M. Sevcikout: W. Urbanski
46'
64'
🔁E. Shabaniout: J. Yriarte
69'
🔁P. M. Dembeleout: P. Banaszak
🔁J. Kuchtaout: M. Szczepaniak
77'
🔁H. Arreiolout: R. Adamski
77'
82'
🔁Y. Matsenkoout: D. Szala
🔁R. Dezielout: M. Rajovic
85'
Paweł Wszołek
90+2'
90+5'
Michał Rosiak
⚽R. Adamskiassist: P. Wszolek
90'

Match stats — Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw

62%Possession38%
21Shots13
5On target5
9Corners4
1.82xG1.76

Goals against chances

Legia Warszawa1 from 1.82 xGless than the chances were worth
Slask Wroclaw1 from 1.76 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Legia Warszawa 3-4-3
  • 89O. HindrichG
  • 91K. PiatkowskiD
  • 8R. AugustyniakD
  • 5R. DezielD
  • 22P. WszolekM
  • 6H. ArreiolM
  • 55A. JedrzejczykM
  • 19R. VinagreM
  • 23M. SevcikF
  • 79L. ZjawinskiF
  • 7J. KuchtaF
Substitutes
  • 1I. BrkicG
  • 24Z. ArsenicD
  • 67B. KapustkaM
  • 4D. SzymanskiM
  • 13A. RecaD
  • 53W. UrbanskiM
  • 99S. KovacikF
  • 17M. SzczepaniakM
  • 11K. ChodynaM
Coach: Marek Papszun
Slask Wroclaw 5-3-2
  • 1K. NiemczyckiG
  • 27M. RosiakD
  • 33Y. MatsenkoD
  • 5L. BaD
  • 44M. MalecD
  • 8M. LlinaresD
  • 7P. Samiec-TalarM
  • 20G. TomasiewiczM
  • 77E. ShabaniM
  • 10P. M. DembeleF
  • 11L. MarjanacF
Substitutes
  • 25M. SzromnikG
  • 3I. ChristodoulouD
  • 2D. SzalaD
  • 4M. DijakovicD
  • 38D. MarkowskiM
  • 21A. TimossiD
  • 15J. YriarteM
  • 19P. BanaszakF
  • 88A. CiuckaM
Coach: Ante Simundza

Form going into Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw

Legia Warszawa

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Piast Gliwice22 August 2026
  • W5-0Radomiak Radom14 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Korona Kielce8 August 2026
  • W3-1Zaglebie Lubin2 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Pogon Szczecin24 July 2026

Slask Wroclaw

All competitions we cover

  • D3-3Widzew Łódź22 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Zaglebie Lubin15 August 2026
  • D0-0Cracovia Krakow9 August 2026
  • W2-1Raków Częstochowa2 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Gornik Zabrze25 July 2026

What these results say

  • Legia Warszawa went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Legia Warszawa scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Slask Wroclaw failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Slask Wroclaw scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Slask Wroclaw conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Legia Warszawa146622515+1024
17Slask Wroclaw142481725-810

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Legia Warszawa vs Slask Wroclaw

  • 2 March 2025Legia Warszawa 3–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 25 August 2024Slask Wroclaw 1–1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
  • 21 April 2024Legia Warszawa 0–0 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 21 October 2023Slask Wroclaw 4–0 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
  • 27 May 2023Legia Warszawa 3–1 Slask WroclawEkstraklasa
  • 13 November 2022Slask Wroclaw 0–0 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa

Leading scorers: Legia Warszawa and Slask Wroclaw

Legia Warszawa

No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 25 league goals as a side.

Slask Wroclaw

GoalsAssists

  • P. Banaszak50

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Legia Warszawa and Slask Wroclaw drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Legia Warszawa at 52% and given a draw 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: P. Samiec-Talar (penalty) 35' for Slask Wroclaw, R. Adamski 90' for Legia Warszawa. On expected goals it finished 1.82–1.76.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.