NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt UEFA Champions League prediction & result
Final score: NEC Nijmegen 1-3 Bodo/Glimt.
Before kick-off the model made it 59% NEC Nijmegen, 21% draw, 20% Bodo/Glimt — fair odds of 1.69, 4.76 and 5.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts NEC Nijmegen at 59% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into NEC Nijmegen vs Bodo/Glimt
NEC Nijmegen
- W4-1away to Willem II15 August 2026
Bodo/Glimt
- D3-3away to Union St. Gilloise4 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen | Eredivisie | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
| 36 | Bodo/Glimt | UEFA Champions League | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 0 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Eredivisie · UEFA Champions League