NEC Nijmegen sit 10th in the Eredivisie on 7 points from 6 matches, having scored 11 and conceded 12. The model rates their attack at 0.88× the league average and their defence at 1.44× goals conceded, where 1 is average and a lower defensive figure is better — below average at both ends by these numbers. Across their last 5 league matches they have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, most recently losing to Cambuur 0-3 away. That is 1.17 points a match, scoring 1.83 and conceding 2.00 per game across 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 defeats. That leaves them 9 points behind PSV Eindhoven at the top, in a table of 18. Among the 18 rated sides in the division that is the 7th-best attack and the 18th-best defence. They scored in 5 of those 5 and kept 1 clean sheet. Next they travel to Juventus in the UEFA Europa League on 17 September 2026, a match the model gives them 16%.
Model rating
How the model rates this team from its recent expected-goals output, relative to the league average — how the ratings are built.
Eredivisie table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV Eindhoven | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 7 | +15 | 16 |
| 2 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 6 | +11 | 16 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 20 | 7 | +13 | 14 |
| 4 | Ajax | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 7 | +12 | 13 |
| 5 | Twente | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 5 | +7 | 13 |
| 6 | Excelsior | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
| 8 | GO Ahead Eagles | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +2 | 9 |
| 9 | Groningen | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 8 |
| 10 | NEC Nijmegen | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Heerenveen | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 5 |
| 14 | Utrecht | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 5 |
| 15 | Cambuur | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 4 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -11 | 4 |
| 17 | Willem II | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 19 | -13 | 2 |
| 18 | ADO Den Haag | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 16 | -10 | 1 |
NEC Nijmegen sit 10 of 18, as the table stands today. Every competition we cover.
Recent league form
- L0-3away to Cambuur12 September 2026
- D2-2Excelsior8 September 2026
- L1-3Feyenoord5 September 2026
- W3-1away to PEC Zwolle29 August 2026
- W4-1away to Willem II15 August 2026
Last 5 league matches, most recent first.
Next match: NEC Nijmegen vs Juventus
NEC Nijmegen travel to Juventus at Allianz Stadium, Turin on 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. The model makes it 16% NEC Nijmegen, 23% draw and 61% Juventus, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0. It projects 0.78 expected goals for NEC Nijmegen against 2.58. Beyond the result it puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.
Full preview and model analysis for NEC Nijmegen vs Juventus