Novi Pazar vs Macva Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Novi Pazar 1-1 Macva.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Novi Pazar, 30% draw, 23% Macva — fair odds of 2.13, 3.33 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Novi Pazar at 47% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Novi Pazar vs Macva
Novi Pazar
- L0-1away to Radnik Surdulica23 August 2026
- W2-0Vojvodina17 August 2026
Macva
- W1-0Radnicki NIS22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radnik Surdulica15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Novi Pazar | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Macva | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Novi Pazar vs Macva
- 1 July 2026Macva 2–1 Novi PazarFriendlies Clubs
- 27 February 2021Novi Pazar 4–0 MacvaSuper Liga
- 23 August 2020Macva 1–1 Novi PazarSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Novi Pazar and Macva
Novi Pazar
- K. Dixon2 goals2 assists
Macva
- M. Vidakov3 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.