Novi Pazar vs Macva Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Novi Pazar 1-1 Macva.
Before kick-off the model made it 47% Novi Pazar, 30% draw, 23% Macva — fair odds of 2.13, 3.33 and 4.35.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Novi Pazar at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Novi Pazar vs Macva
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1B. MatijasevicG
- 2A. MiljkovicD
- 4A. HadzimujovicD
- 23J. MarinkovicD
- 50T. DadicD
- 14N. StankovicM
- 24I. DavidovicM
- 10D. SadiM
- 20K. DixonM
- 7JonnyM
- 99F. MulicF
- 12M. PrekovicG
- 32B. AdzicD
- 3V. MirosavicD
- 5S. MelentijevicD
- 6P. GadioM
- 11N. SkrobonjaM
- 25H. AlicG
- 70D. JankovicM
- 21M. PetrovicM
- 89V. JovanovicG
- 17N. LainovicD
- 22K. TojcicD
- 15S. SladojevicD
- 44N. StevanovicD
- 5D. TerzicM
- 8B. VrastanovicM
- 10M. ErgelasM
- 30D. DjordjicM
- 27L. PejovicM
- 9M. VidakovF
- 28S. JovicG
- 33U. BlagojevicD
- 19I. RistivojevicD
- 4V. IlicD
- 35I. KoneD
- 34D. KnezevicM
- 6J. JevremovicM
- 11V. RakicM
- 99N. DelibasicF
Form going into Novi Pazar vs Macva
Novi Pazar
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to Radnik Surdulica23 August 2026
- W2-0Vojvodina17 August 2026
- L0-2away to FK Crvena Zvezda8 August 2026
Macva
All competitions we cover
- W1-0Radnicki NIS22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Radnik Surdulica15 August 2026
- W1-0IMT Novi Beograd9 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Serbia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Novi Pazar | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
| 11 | Macva | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Novi Pazar vs Macva
- 1 July 2026Macva 2–1 Novi PazarFriendlies Clubs
- 27 February 2021Novi Pazar 4–0 MacvaSuper Liga
- 23 August 2020Macva 1–1 Novi PazarSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Novi Pazar and Macva
Novi Pazar
GoalsAssists
- K. Dixon52
Macva
GoalsAssists
- M. Vidakov40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Novi Pazar and Macva drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Novi Pazar at 47% and given a draw 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: D. Sadi 62' for Novi Pazar, M. Vidakov 86' for Macva. On expected goals it finished 2.54–1.33.