29 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica Super Liga prediction & result

Sportsko-Rekreativni Centar Mladost
Full time5 – 1

Final score: Železničar Pančevo 5-1 Radnik Surdulica.

Before kick-off the model made it 42% Železničar Pančevo, 29% draw, 29% Radnik Surdulica — fair odds of 2.38, 3.45 and 3.45.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Železničar Pančevo at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Železničar Pančevo99%Draw1%Radnik Surdulica0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

7'
Darko Stojanović
11'
⚽L. Zoricassist: A. Kosiah
15'
Ayouba Kosiah
Simão Pedro
20'
Mamane Amadou Sabo
25'
🔁K. Sekularacout: A. Kuljanin
46'
🔁N. Jovanovicout: K. Karikari
46'
46'
🔁D. Stojanovicout: M. Novakovic
46'
🔁A. Kosiahout: V. Bogdanovic
⚽J. Jevremovicassist: A. Kuljanin
51'
60'
🔁T. Sonhaout: Rafael Pontelo
⚽K. Karikari
61'
⚽A. Kuljaninassist: K. Karikari
67'
🔁S. Pedroout: S. Plavsic
68'
68'
🔁E. Quarshieout: R. Ohori
⚽K. Karikariassist: S. Plavsic
72'
76'
🔁L. Jovanovicout: M. Dzangarovski
🔁D. Ankeyeout: M. Curic
77'
82'
Martin Novaković
🔁J. Jevremovicout: D. Tosic
84'
Aleksa Kuljanin
85'
⚽K. Karikariassist: U. Tegeltija
90'

Match stats — Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica

63%Possession37%
17Shots6
9On target2
6Corners1
5.14xG0.47

Goals against chances

Železničar Pančevo5 from 5.14 xGabout what the chances were worth
Radnik Surdulica1 from 0.47 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Železničar Pančevo 4-1-4-1
  • 1Z. PopovicG
  • 19U. TegeltijaD
  • 6M. MilikicD
  • 5N. VidojevicD
  • 33N. DjuricicD
  • 26M. Amadou SaboM
  • 11N. JovanovicM
  • 20J. JevremovicM
  • 77K. SekularacM
  • 10S. PedroM
  • 21D. AnkeyeF
Substitutes
  • 66J. MiladinovicG
  • 3C. TchouanteD
  • 7M. CuricM
  • 88C. LhernaultM
  • 14D. TosicM
  • 95S. PlavsicM
  • 70Leo Agostinho
  • 17A. KuljaninF
  • 9L. AdzicM
Coach: Radomir Kokovic
Radnik Surdulica 4-2-3-1
  • 99S. Randjelovic
  • 22U. LazicD
  • 6D. StojanovicD
  • 37S. AbubakarD
  • 2T. SonhaD
  • 5M. PopovicM
  • 3L. ZoricM
  • 47E. QuarshieM
  • 7D. StojanovicM
  • 20L. JovanovicM
  • 92A. KosiahF
Substitutes
  • 23L. RadojicicG
  • 14U. IlicD
  • 45Rafael PonteloD
  • 21U. FilipovicD
  • 55M. DzangarovskiF
  • 30M. NovakovicM
  • 10R. OhoriM
  • 25T. LakicF
  • 9V. BogdanovicF
Coach: Zoran Rendulic

Form going into Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica

Železničar Pančevo

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Vojvodina23 August 2026
  • D2-2away to OFK Beograd9 August 2026
  • L0-4away to SC Braga30 July 2026
  • L0-1SC Braga22 July 2026

Radnik Surdulica

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Novi Pazar23 August 2026
  • W2-1Macva15 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Vojvodina9 August 2026

What these results say

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Železničar Pančevo149232412+1229
6Radnik Surdulica156542018+223

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Železničar Pančevo vs Radnik Surdulica

  • 9 May 2026Železničar Pančevo 1–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 31 January 2026Železničar Pančevo 1–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 24 August 2025Radnik Surdulica 1–2 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga
  • 13 May 2024Železničar Pančevo 4–0 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 2 April 2024Železničar Pančevo 3–1 Radnik SurdulicaSuper Liga
  • 28 October 2023Radnik Surdulica 0–1 Železničar PančevoSuper Liga

Leading scorers: Železničar Pančevo and Radnik Surdulica

Železničar Pančevo

GoalsAssists

  • D. Ankeye50
  • K. Kwaku42

Radnik Surdulica

GoalsAssists

  • V. Bogdanović61
  • M. Novaković33

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Železničar Pančevo beat Radnik Surdulica 5–1. The model had made a win for Železničar Pančevo its most likely outcome, at 42%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: L. Zoric 11' for Radnik Surdulica, J. Jevremovic 51' for Železničar Pančevo, K. Karikari 61' for Železničar Pančevo, A. Kuljanin 67' for Železničar Pančevo, K. Karikari 72' for Železničar Pančevo, K. Karikari 90' for Železničar Pančevo. On expected goals it finished 5.14–0.47.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.