Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Zaglebie Lubin 0-0 Pogon Szczecin.
Before kick-off the model made it 39% Zaglebie Lubin, 28% draw, 33% Pogon Szczecin — fair odds of 2.56, 3.57 and 3.03. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Zaglebie Lubin at 39% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1767 forecasts have landed in the 30–40% band; those outcomes actually happened 33.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 33.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin
Zaglebie Lubin
- D0-0away to Radomiak Radom23 August 2026
Pogon Szczecin
- D2-2Wisla Krakow23 August 2026
- W3-1Motor Lublin8 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Zaglebie Lubin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 15 |
| 7 | Pogon Szczecin | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Zaglebie Lubin vs Pogon Szczecin
- 4 July 2026Zaglebie Lubin 2–0 Pogon SzczecinFriendlies Clubs
- 15 May 2026Zaglebie Lubin 0–1 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa
- 24 November 2025Pogon Szczecin 5–1 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 1 February 2025Pogon Szczecin 1–0 Zaglebie LubinEkstraklasa
- 4 December 2024Pogon Szczecin 4–3 Zaglebie LubinCup
- 28 July 2024Zaglebie Lubin 2–2 Pogon SzczecinEkstraklasa