Lausanne vs FC Zurich Super League prediction & result
Final score: Lausanne 2-3 FC Zurich.
Before kick-off the model made it 48% Lausanne, 27% draw, 25% FC Zurich — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All Swiss Super League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Lausanne at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Lausanne vs FC Zurich
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 90M. MastilG
- 2B. SoppyD
- 3T. FredricsonD
- 71K. SowD
- 18M. PoatyD
- 80S. KoneM
- 10O. CustodioM
- 16N. BelokoM
- 9E. MolebeF
- 78O. JannehF
- 91F. MolletF
- 1T. CastellaG
- 20H. AbdallahD
- 6T. BergvallD
- 5D. NgonzoD
- 8J. RocheM
- 47S. N'DiayeM
- 11N. Butler-OyedejiF
- 7A. AjdiniF
- 17S. TraoreF
- 1S. HuberG
- 3S. HodzaD
- 2L. KamberiD
- 42A. HackD
- 44S. WalkerD
- 21L. SchodlerM
- 11U. EmmanuelM
- 38M. ReichmuthM
- 7B. KrasniqiM
- 17K. SpadanudaM
- 19P. P. KenyF
- 13H. LindnerG
- 22C. Kablan
- 48D. IhenduD
- 6C. FioriniM
- 18M. BangouraM
- 14N. Di GiustoM
- 9J. PereaF
- 29D. ReversonF
- 49D. RamicF
Form going into Lausanne vs FC Zurich
Lausanne
All competitions we cover
- L0-1away to FC Luzern22 August 2026
- D2-2BSC Young Boys8 August 2026
- W1-0away to FC Basel 18931 August 2026
- D1-1Grasshoppers25 July 2026
FC Zurich
All competitions we cover
- L1-2FC Basel 189322 August 2026
- L0-5away to FC Lugano9 August 2026
- W2-1Servette FC1 August 2026
- L1-2away to FC St. Gallen26 July 2026
What these results say
- Lausanne failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lausanne scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Lausanne conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- FC Zurich conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Every one of these 4 matches for FC Zurich had three goals or more.
- FC Zurich failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Switzerland Super League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Lausanne | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 7 |
| 5 | FC Zurich | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 21 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Lausanne vs FC Zurich
- 25 April 2026Lausanne 3–0 FC ZurichSuper League
- 4 March 2026FC Zurich 1–2 LausanneSuper League
- 1 November 2025FC Zurich 1–2 LausanneSuper League
- 10 August 2025Lausanne 1–2 FC ZurichSuper League
- 2 April 2025FC Zurich 2–2 LausanneSuper League
Leading scorers: Lausanne and FC Zurich
Lausanne
No player in Super League's leading scorers — 12 league goals as a side.
FC Zurich
GoalsAssists
- U. Emmanuel63
- P. Keny61
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
FC Zurich won 3–2 at Lausanne. The model had leaned towards a win for Lausanne at 48% and given a win for FC Zurich 25%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: E. Molebe 31' for Lausanne, B. Krasniqi 47' for FC Zurich, L. Kamberi 58' for FC Zurich, O. Janneh 73' for Lausanne, U. Emmanuel 81' for FC Zurich. On expected goals it finished 1.09–1.71.