29 August 2026, 16:00 UTC

Lausanne vs FC Zurich Super League prediction & result

Stade de la Tuiliere, Lausanne
Full time2 – 3

Final score: Lausanne 2-3 FC Zurich.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Lausanne, 27% draw, 25% FC Zurich — fair odds of 2.08, 3.70 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Lausanne at 48% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Lausanne0%Draw5%FC Zurich95%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁N. Belokoout: N. Butler-Oyedeji
30'
⚽E. Molebe
31'
47'
⚽B. Krasniqiassist: U. Emmanuel
🔁T. Fredricsonout: D. Ngonzo
54'
🔁E. Molebeout: S. Traore
54'
58'
⚽L. Kamberiassist: S. Hodza
Dircssi Ngonzo
62'
Brandon Soppy
65'
68'
Alexander Hack
70'
Kevin Spadanuda
⚽O. Jannehassist: S. Traore
73'
75'
🔁S. Hodzaout: C. Kablan
76'
🔁A. Hackout: M. Bangoura
80'
Chris Kablan
81'
⚽U. Emmanuelassist: M. Reichmuth
🔁M. Poatyout: T. Bergvall
84'

Match stats — Lausanne vs FC Zurich

57%Possession43%
10Shots11
3On target4
6Corners6
1.09xG1.71

Goals against chances

Lausanne2 from 1.09 xGmore than the chances were worth
FC Zurich3 from 1.71 xGmore than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Lausanne 4-3-3
  • 90M. MastilG
  • 2B. SoppyD
  • 3T. FredricsonD
  • 71K. SowD
  • 18M. PoatyD
  • 80S. KoneM
  • 10O. CustodioM
  • 16N. BelokoM
  • 9E. MolebeF
  • 78O. JannehF
  • 91F. MolletF
Substitutes
  • 1T. CastellaG
  • 20H. AbdallahD
  • 6T. BergvallD
  • 5D. NgonzoD
  • 8J. RocheM
  • 47S. N'DiayeM
  • 11N. Butler-OyedejiF
  • 7A. AjdiniF
  • 17S. TraoreF
Coach: Luka Elsner
FC Zurich 4-1-4-1
  • 1S. HuberG
  • 3S. HodzaD
  • 2L. KamberiD
  • 42A. HackD
  • 44S. WalkerD
  • 21L. SchodlerM
  • 11U. EmmanuelM
  • 38M. ReichmuthM
  • 7B. KrasniqiM
  • 17K. SpadanudaM
  • 19P. P. KenyF
Substitutes
  • 13H. LindnerG
  • 22C. Kablan
  • 48D. IhenduD
  • 6C. FioriniM
  • 18M. BangouraM
  • 14N. Di GiustoM
  • 9J. PereaF
  • 29D. ReversonF
  • 49D. RamicF
Coach: Marcel Koller

Form going into Lausanne vs FC Zurich

Lausanne

  • L0-1away to FC Luzern22 August 2026

FC Zurich

  • L1-2FC Basel 189322 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
12Lausanne8134711-46
7FC Zurich83141319-610

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Lausanne vs FC Zurich

  • 29 August 2026Lausanne 2–3 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 25 April 2026Lausanne 3–0 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 4 March 2026FC Zurich 1–2 LausanneSuper League
  • 1 November 2025FC Zurich 1–2 LausanneSuper League
  • 10 August 2025Lausanne 1–2 FC ZurichSuper League
  • 2 April 2025FC Zurich 2–2 LausanneSuper League

Leading scorers: Lausanne and FC Zurich

Lausanne

No player in Super League's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.

FC Zurich

  • U. Emmanuel4 goals2 assists

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.