Orgryte IS vs Halmstad Allsvenskan prediction & result
Final score: Orgryte IS 1-1 Halmstad.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% Orgryte IS, 22% draw, 23% Halmstad — fair odds of 1.82, 4.55 and 4.35. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Orgryte IS at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Orgryte IS vs Halmstad
Line-ups
- 44Hampus GustafssonG
- 33Sebastian LagerlundD
- 6Mikael DyrestamD
- 25Johan HammarD
- 18Adam AnderssonM
- 23Owen Parker-PriceM
- 8Benjamin LaturnusM
- 14Daniel PaulsonM
- 17William HofvanderF
- 11Noah ChristofferssonF
- 22Tobias SanaF
- 2Michael ParkerD
- 10Rasmus AlmM
- 19Anton AndreassonD
- 15Jerome Tibbling UgwoF
- 34Alex RahmG
- 3Jonathan AzulayD
- 5Christoffer StyffeD
- 21William KenndalM
- 7Charlie VindehallM
- 1Tim RönningG
- 17Andre BomanD
- 5Pascal GregorD
- 3Gabriel WallentinD
- 24Rami KaibD
- 19Marvin IllaryM
- 6Joel AllanssonM
- 8Niilo MäenpääM
- 14Hussein CarneilM
- 27Rocco AsconeF
- 18Malte PerssonF
- 28Tom TrybullM
- 22Oliver KapsimalisF
- 9Omar FarajF
- 16Erko Jonne TougjasD
- 4Filip SchybergD
- 35Adam WihedG
- 34Hjalmar ÅbergD
- 13Vincent JohanssonM
- 25Aleksander NilssonM
Form going into Orgryte IS vs Halmstad
Orgryte IS
- L1-3away to IF Brommapojkarna16 August 2026
Halmstad
- L0-1away to BK Hacken17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Allsvenskan table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Orgryte IS | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 24 | 47 | -23 | 15 |
| 16 | Halmstad | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 39 | -25 | 11 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Orgryte IS vs Halmstad
- 22 August 2026Orgryte IS 1–1 HalmstadAllsvenskan
- 23 May 2026Halmstad 2–0 Orgryte ISAllsvenskan
- 11 October 2022Halmstad 2–3 Orgryte ISSuperettan
- 5 April 2022Orgryte IS 2–2 HalmstadSuperettan
- 28 November 2020Halmstad 1–0 Orgryte ISSuperettan
- 23 June 2020Orgryte IS 0–3 HalmstadSuperettan
Leading scorers: Orgryte IS and Halmstad
Orgryte IS
- N. Christoffersson8 goals1 assists
Halmstad
No player in Allsvenskan's leading scorers — 14 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.