Osasuna vs Getafe La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Osasuna 1-0 Getafe.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% Osasuna, 31% draw, 28% Getafe — fair odds of 2.44, 3.23 and 3.57.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Osasuna at 41%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Osasuna vs Getafe
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Sergio HerreraG
- 27Iñigo ArguibideD
- 24Alejandro CatenaD
- 5Jorge HerrandoD
- 23Abel BretonesD
- 7Jon MoncayolaM
- 8Iker MuñozM
- 14Rubén GarcíaM
- 10Aimar OrozM
- 16Moi GómezM
- 17Ante BudimirF
- 22Enzo BoyomoD
- 21Jonathan DubasinF
- 6Lucas TorróM
- 9Raúl García de HaroF
- 11Kike BarjaF
- 13Aitor FernándezG
- 29Asier OsambelaM
- 48Rockson YeboahD
- 15Diego RicoD
- 13David SoriaG
- 17Kiko FemeníaD
- 2DjenéD
- 24Zaid RomeroD
- 22Johan MojicaD
- 21Andrés GarcíaM
- 16Francho SerranoM
- 23Orel MangalaM
- 11Ramón TerratsM
- 19Enes ÜnalF
- 10Martín SatrianoF
- 28Alberto RiscoM
- 8Nemanja GudeljM
- 9Borja MayoralF
- 35Diego FerrerG
- 1Jiří LetáčekG
- 26Jean Ives ValouD
- 3DavinchiD
- 31Mohamed HamdouneD
- 15Sebastián BoselliD
Form going into Osasuna vs Getafe
Osasuna
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Celta Vigo27 August 2026
- D0-0Levante24 August 2026
Getafe
All competitions we cover
- L1-2away to FK Partizan27 August 2026
- W1-0Racing Santander23 August 2026
- W3-1FK Partizan20 August 2026
- L0-3away to Alaves15 August 2026
What these results say
- Getafe scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Getafe conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Getafe had three goals or more.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Osasuna vs Getafe
- 23 May 2026Getafe 1–0 OsasunaLa Liga
- 3 October 2025Osasuna 2–1 GetafeLa Liga
- 16 March 2025Osasuna 1–2 GetafeLa Liga
- 5 October 2024Getafe 1–1 OsasunaLa Liga
- 21 January 2024Osasuna 3–2 GetafeLa Liga
Leading scorers: Osasuna and Getafe
Osasuna
GoalsAssists
- A. Budimir80
Getafe
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Osasuna beat Getafe 1–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Osasuna at 41%. The goal: A. Budimir (penalty) 45+2' for Osasuna. On expected goals it finished 1.70–0.65.