30 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia La Liga prediction & result

Estadio Municipal de Riazor
Full time3 – 1

Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 3-1 Valencia.

Before kick-off the model made it 27% Deportivo La Coruna, 26% draw, 47% Valencia — fair odds of 3.70, 3.85 and 2.13.

Most likely scoreline: 1-2.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Valencia at 47%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽C. Tarrega (OG)
13'
⚽P. Aubameyangassist: M. Soriano
17'
26'
⚽U. Sadiq
⚽M. Diakhaby (OG)
59'
60'
🔁J. Guerraout: A. Danjuma
60'
🔁R. Satoout: H. Duro
60'
🔁L. Riojaout: D. Otorbi
64'
Mouctar Diakhaby
🔁R. Rodriguezout: T. Gijselhart
64'
66'
🔁Pepeluout: A. Dieng
🔁M. Sorianoout: A. Altimira
73'
🔁Cruz Luismiout: Y. Hernandez
73'
82'
🔁A. Martinezout: D. Raba
🔁X. Navarroout: M. Loureiro
83'
🔁B. Nsongoout: J. Asp
83'
Adrià Altimira
90+3'
Adrià Altimira
90+3'
Adrià Altimira
90+3'

Match stats — Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia

45%Possession55%
11Shots12
4On target4
5Corners5
1.42xG1.33

Goals against chances

Deportivo La Coruna3 from 1.42 xGmore than the chances were worth
Valencia1 from 1.33 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Deportivo La Coruna 4-4-2
  • 13L. RomanG
  • 23X. NavarroD
  • 4L. NoubiD
  • 22B. EdeD
  • 12G. QuagliataD
  • 19Cruz LuismiM
  • 21M. SorianoM
  • 16L. AmatucciM
  • 14R. RodriguezM
  • 32B. NsongoF
  • 7P. AubameyangF
Substitutes
  • 1G. ParrenoG
  • 25A. FernandezG
  • 15M. LoureiroD
  • 2A. AltimiraD
  • 24AngelinoD
  • 3A. ComasD
  • 8D. VillaresM
  • 34T. GijselhartM
  • 18J. AspM
Coach: Antonio Hidalgo
Valencia 5-4-1
  • 1S. DimitrievskiG
  • 11L. RiojaD
  • 22A. MartinezD
  • 5C. TarregaD
  • 4M. DiakhabyD
  • 21J. VazquezD
  • 39R. SatoM
  • 23F. UgrinicM
  • 18PepeluM
  • 8J. GuerraM
  • 6U. SadiqF
Substitutes
  • 25K. van OevelenG
  • 20D. FoulquierD
  • 14J. GayaD
  • 29A. PanachD
  • 36I. CordobaD
  • 33A. MayolD
  • 15A. DiengM
  • 38J. DuraM
  • 7A. DanjumaF
Coach: Carlos Corberan

Form going into Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia

Deportivo La Coruna

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Malaga24 August 2026
  • D1-1Elche17 August 2026

Valencia

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1Real Betis25 August 2026
  • D0-0Celta Vigo22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
9Deportivo La Coruna123631514+115
19Valencia12237820-129

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia

  • 20 May 2018Valencia 2–1 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 13 January 2018Deportivo La Coruna 1–2 ValenciaLa Liga
  • 2 April 2017Valencia 3–0 Deportivo La CorunaLa Liga
  • 31 October 2016Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 ValenciaLa Liga
  • 24 January 2016Deportivo La Coruna 1–1 ValenciaLa Liga

The full Deportivo La Coruna vs Valencia record →

Leading scorers: Deportivo La Coruna and Valencia

Deportivo La Coruna

GoalsAssists

  • P. Aubameyang52

Valencia

No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Deportivo La Coruna beat Valencia 3–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Valencia at 47% and given a win for Deportivo La Coruna 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: C. Tarrega (own goal) 13' for Deportivo La Coruna, P. Aubameyang 17' for Deportivo La Coruna, U. Sadiq 26' for Valencia, M. Diakhaby (own goal) 59' for Deportivo La Coruna. Sent off: Adrià Altimira (Deportivo La Coruna) 90+3'. On expected goals it finished 1.42–1.33.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.