24 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Osasuna vs Levante La Liga prediction & result

Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Osasuna 0-0 Levante.

Before kick-off the model made it 55% Osasuna, 20% draw, 25% Levante — fair odds of 1.82, 5.00 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Osasuna at 55% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Osasuna7%Draw89%Levante4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

38'
Iván Romero
🔁A. Orozout: R. Garcia
72'
🔁R. Garciaout: R. Moro
72'
78'
🔁N. Perezout: J. Toljan
78'
🔁T. Fernandezout: V. Garcia
🔁A. Budimirout: J. Dubasin
80'
🔁I. Arguibideout: L. Torro
81'
🔁M. Gomezout: K. Barja
87'
Kike Barja
88'
Sergio Herrera
90+1'
90'
🔁O. Reyout: H. Sotelo
90'
🔁I. Romeroout: K. Etta Eyong

Match stats — Osasuna vs Levante

46%Possession54%
12Shots11
7On target1
9Corners4
0.67xG1.31

Goals against chances

Osasuna0 from 0.67 xGless than the chances were worth
Levante0 from 1.31 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Osasuna 4-4-2
  • 1S. HerreraG
  • 27I. ArguibideD
  • 24A. CatenaD
  • 5J. HerrandoD
  • 23A. BretonesD
  • 14R. GarciaM
  • 7J. MoncayolaM
  • 8I. MunozM
  • 16M. GomezM
  • 17A. BudimirF
  • 10A. OrozF
Substitutes
  • 31RafaG
  • 13A. FernandezG
  • 15D. RicoD
  • 22F. BoyomoD
  • 35U. SantosD
  • 6L. TorroM
  • 29A. OsambelaM
  • 26M. EchegoyenM
  • 9R. GarciaF
Coach: Miguel Ramis Luis
Levante 4-1-4-1
  • 13M. RyanG
  • 29N. PerezD
  • 4DelaD
  • 2A. MandiD
  • 23M. SanchezD
  • 20O. ReyM
  • 7R. BrugueM
  • 18E. BardeliM
  • 8J. A. OlasagastiM
  • 24T. FernandezM
  • 9I. RomeroF
Substitutes
  • 1P. CunatG
  • 3I. NdukweD
  • 22J. ToljanD
  • 14J. CabelloD
  • 10C. AlvarezM
  • 27P. CortesF
  • 5H. SoteloM
  • 6D. RequenaM
  • 17V. GarciaD
Coach: Luis Castro

Form going into Osasuna vs Levante

Osasuna

No earlier matches on record this season.

Levante

  • L0-3away to Espanyol16 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Osasuna6213512-77
14Levante512279-25

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Osasuna vs Levante

  • 24 August 2026Osasuna 0–0 LevanteLa Liga
  • 8 May 2026Levante 3–2 OsasunaLa Liga
  • 8 December 2025Osasuna 2–0 LevanteLa Liga
  • 19 March 2022Osasuna 3–1 LevanteLa Liga
  • 5 December 2021Levante 0–0 OsasunaLa Liga
  • 14 February 2021Levante 0–1 OsasunaLa Liga

Leading scorers: Osasuna and Levante

Osasuna

  • A. Budimir4 goals

Levante

  • Brugui3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.