PAOK vs Levadiakos Super League 1 prediction & result
Final score: PAOK 4-0 Levadiakos.
Before kick-off the model made it 61% PAOK, 18% draw, 21% Levadiakos — fair odds of 1.64, 5.56 and 4.76. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts PAOK at 61% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 635 forecasts have landed in the 50–65% band; those outcomes actually happened 52.3% of the time, against an average forecast of 55.7%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — PAOK vs Levadiakos
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1J. PavlenkaG
- 3J. KennyD
- 6A. ElustondoD
- 5G. MichailidisD
- 21A. BabaD
- 32G. TaylorM
- 23T. LouchetM
- 14A. ZivkovicM
- 10D. PelkasM
- 47S. ShoretireM
- 27C. NdiayeF
- 99A. TsiftsisG
- 41D. MonastirlisG
- 13D. GiannoulisD
- 25K. ThymianisD
- 18JogoD
- 97D. BataoulasD
- 4P. HatzidiakosD
- 11TaisonF
- 7B. SantamariaM
- 55N. EliasiG
- 2A. PanteaD
- 24P. LiagasD
- 37G. TsivelekidisD
- 3P. VichosD
- 8G. NikasM
- 31P. SymelidisM
- 74C. PapadopoulosM
- 18I. KostiM
- 11A. UrziM
- 17D. EmmanouilidisF
- 33L. AnackerG
- 23G. KornezosD
- 15A. SutM
- 20K. Goumas
- 7J. BauzaM
- 77G. VrakasF
- 66M. Ndiaye
- 9O. OzegovicF
- 14G. ManthatisM
Form going into PAOK vs Levadiakos
PAOK
- D1-1Brann20 August 2026
- L2-3away to Anderlecht13 August 2026
- L0-1Anderlecht6 August 2026
- W2-0Dynamo Kyiv30 July 2026
- W3-2away to Dynamo Kyiv23 July 2026
Levadiakos
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Super League 1 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | PAOK | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 14 | Levadiakos | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 1 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: PAOK vs Levadiakos
- 15 March 2026PAOK 3–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 30 November 2025Levadiakos 2–3 PAOKSuper League 1
- 17 September 2025Levadiakos 4–1 PAOKCup
- 26 January 2025PAOK 1–0 LevadiakosSuper League 1
- 6 October 2024Levadiakos 0–2 PAOKSuper League 1
- 30 January 2023PAOK 3–2 LevadiakosSuper League 1
Leading scorers: PAOK and Levadiakos
PAOK
- D. Pelkas3 goals
- A. Živković2 goals2 assists
Levadiakos
No league goals yet this season.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.