Pendikspor
vs
Iğdır FK
1. Lig prediction
Our model says: Pendikspor 0–1 Iğdır FK
The model makes it 33% Pendikspor, 31% draw, 36% Iğdır FK — fair odds of 3.03, 3.23 and 2.78.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Expected goals: Pendikspor 1.04, Iğdır FK 1.09.
Both teams to score: 44%. Over 2.5 goals: 36%, under 2.5: 64%.
Model confidence: Low — calls at this level have come off 38% of the time, over 1,327 settled matches.
A tight game: Pendikspor and Iğdır FK are within 3 points of each other, so the draw is a real outcome here.
Published
Source: Fulltime Stats' own Dixon-Coles model, as of 15 November 2026. Pendikspor's rating is built from 53 TFF 1. Lig matches and Iğdır FK's from 52, over this season and last, recent ones weighted most.
Key facts
- Pendikspor are 16th on 14 points from 14 games; Iğdır FK are 3rd on 28 points from 14 games — 1. Lig.
- Pendikspor have won 1 of their last 5 games, most recently a 0-2 defeat at home to İstanbulspor.
- Iğdır FK are unbeaten in their last 5 games (2 won), most recently a 1-1 draw away to Sarıyer.
- Last 4 meetings: Iğdır FK 2 wins to 0, 2 draws; the most recent, 19 April 2026, ended Iğdır FK 1–1 Pendikspor.
More TFF 1. Lig predictions
Live win probability
From kick-offFrom kick-off, the split above updates here every few seconds as the model re-reads the score, the clock and any red cards.
Model insights: Pendikspor vs Iğdır FK
Has the model earned this number?
Iğdır FK at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
Form going into Pendikspor vs Iğdır FK
Pendikspor
1. Lig
- L0-2İstanbulspor7 November 2026
- W1-0away to Fatih Karagümrük31 October 2026
- D2-2Kayserispor25 October 2026
- L0-2away to Bursaspor19 October 2026
- L1-2Vanspor FK13 October 2026
Iğdır FK
1. Lig
- D1-1away to Sarıyer6 November 2026
- D1-1Antalyaspor1 November 2026
- W2-1away to Bandırmaspor24 October 2026
- W1-0Boluspor18 October 2026
- D0-0away to Keçiörengücü14 October 2026
What these results say
- Pendikspor failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Pendikspor conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Iğdır FK went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Iğdır FK scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- 4 of these 5 matches for Iğdır FK had two goals or fewer.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
1. Lig table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pendikspor | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
| 3 | Iğdır FK | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +8 | 28 |
Where the two sides stand. Full table
Head-to-head: Pendikspor vs Iğdır FK
- 19 April 2026Iğdır FK 1–1 Pendikspor1. Lig
- 14 December 2025Pendikspor 1–1 Iğdır FK1. Lig
- 8 February 2025Iğdır FK 1–0 Pendikspor1. Lig
- 1 September 2024Pendikspor 0–2 Iğdır FK1. Lig
The rest of the season
Across the rest of the season our simulation gives Pendikspor a 0% chance of the title and Iğdır FK 1%, from 10,000 simulated seasons.
Team comparison
Each side's share of the two-team total. How to read this.
Why the model favours this side
The model gives Iğdır FK the highest probability at 36%, based on each side's rolling attack and defence ratings estimated from recent match data. The model projects 1.04 expected goals for Pendikspor against 1.09 for Iğdır FK. Pendikspor's attack/defence rating is 0.49/1.68 versus the league average (1.00 = average), compared with 0.54/1.3 for Iğdır FK.
How the model reaches 36% for Iğdır FK to win
Start from two average sides on neutral ground: 36% for Iğdır FK to win. Then home advantage takes away 7 points, the level of the two sides takes away 1 point, Pendikspor's ratings add 4 points and Iğdır FK's ratings add 4 points, which lands on the published 36%.
- Two average sides, neutral ground36%
- Home advantage29%−7
- Both sides at this match's level28%−1
- Pendikspor's ratings32%+4
- Iğdır FK's ratings36%+4
Each step adds one input to the step before. How to read this.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.
Season stats
Pendikspor at home · Iğdır FK away
League matches only, 1. Lig, this season; per game, from API-Football. How to read this.
Goals scored and conceded, by minute
All 1. Lig matches this season: Pendikspor 14, Iğdır FK 14.
Pendikspor score most often in the 16–30 minute window (4 goals); Iğdır FK have let in 1 there.
Iğdır FK score most often in the 61–75 minute window (5 goals); Pendikspor have let in 9 there.
League goals by 15-minute window, from API-Football. Context, not a prediction. How to read this.
The next 4 matches, by difficulty
Pendikspor
- at Esenler Erokspor6 Dec · 1. Ligwin 18%
- vs Muğlaspor13 Dec · 1. Ligwin 45%
- at Mardin 196920 Dec · 1. Ligwin 19%
- at Batman Petrolspor10 Jan · 1. Ligwin 21%
Iğdır FK
- vs Sivasspor6 Dec · 1. Ligwin 52%
- at Bodrum FK13 Dec · 1. Ligwin 25%
- vs Vanspor FK20 Dec · 1. Ligwin 51%
- at Fatih Karagümrük10 Jan · 1. Ligwin 26%
Each side's next matches after this one, coloured by the opponent's strength. How to read this.