Podbrezová vs Ružomberok Super Liga prediction & result
Final score: Podbrezová 4-1 Ružomberok.
Before kick-off the model made it 56% Podbrezová, 25% draw, 19% Ružomberok — fair odds of 1.79, 4.00 and 5.26.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Podbrezová at 56%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Podbrezová vs Ružomberok
Line-ups
- 70L. DomaniskyG
- 15R. ParajD
- 5R. LamprehtD
- 25R. KejvalD
- 77P. KovacikM
- 6S. TijaniM
- 13V. ChylaM
- 8O. DemlM
- 26S. StefanikF
- 9M. ChrienF
- 11B. MrvaljevicF
- 41I. Rehak
- 37J. LukaD
- 19S. SaidyD
- 23S. FaskoM
- 14M. KhyminetsM
- 30V. JanosF
- 22F. MomohF
- 27K. MiljanicF
- 17A. AmoafoD
- 34D. HuskaG
- 31D. KostkaD
- 16D. KostlD
- 5T. MarusinD
- 2A. MojzisD
- 28A. SeleckyD
- 11S. LavrincikM
- 10F. SoucekM
- 15M. BacikM
- 25D. GrgicF
- 19V. HranosF
- 1I. KrajcirikG
- 23D. PrekopD
- 20M. ChobotM
- 29S. GerecF
- 30M. BodaF
- 9M. KoubekF
- 17A. TucnyM
- 24P. Jevos
- 6T. MirkoF
Form going into Podbrezová vs Ružomberok
Podbrezová
Super Liga
- L1-2Slovan Bratislava31 October 2026
- W4-1away to Zemplín Michalovce24 October 2026
- L0-1away to Dukla Banská Bystrica18 October 2026
- L1-3Spartak Trnava11 October 2026
Ružomberok
Super Liga
- W1-0Skalica1 November 2026
- L0-5away to Dunajska Streda24 October 2026
- W1-0away to Komárno17 October 2026
- D2-2Žilina11 October 2026
What these results say
- Podbrezová conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Podbrezová failed to win 3 of these 4 matches.
- Podbrezová scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Ružomberok scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Slovakia Super Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Podbrezová | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 20 |
| 10 | Ružomberok | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 29 | -16 | 12 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Podbrezová vs Ružomberok
- 8 August 2026Ružomberok 1–4 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 14 February 2026Podbrezová 5–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 28 September 2025Ružomberok 1–0 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 14 December 2024Podbrezová 2–0 RužomberokSuper Liga
- 15 September 2024Ružomberok 1–0 PodbrezováSuper Liga
- 27 April 2024Ružomberok 3–2 PodbrezováSuper Liga
Leading scorers: Podbrezová and Ružomberok
Podbrezová
GoalsAssists
- B. Mrvaljević40
- M. Chrien40
- R. Šiler30
Ružomberok
No player in Super Liga's leading scorers — 13 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Podbrezová beat Ružomberok 4–1. The model had made a win for Podbrezová its most likely outcome, at 56%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–0. The goals: M. Chrien 12' for Podbrezová, M. Chrien 29' for Podbrezová, O. Deml 44' for Podbrezová, V. Chyla 54' for Podbrezová, S. Lavrincik 67' for Ružomberok.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Podbrezová a 73.7% chance to finish in the top six: 80.6% after a win, 67.2% after a draw, 59.0% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 80.6%, 6.9 points higher than before the match.
For Ružomberok the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 55.7% going in: 36.9% after a win, 51.5% after a draw, 62.1% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 62.1%, 6.4 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.