8 November 2026, 16:00 UTC

FK Partizan vs Macva Super Liga prediction & result

Stadion Partizana, Belgrade
Full time1 – 2

Final score: FK Partizan 1-2 Macva.

Before kick-off the model made it 62% FK Partizan, 21% draw, 17% Macva — fair odds of 1.61, 4.76 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

FK Partizan at 62%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FK Partizan0%Draw7%Macva93%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

8'
⚽Vasilije Đurićassist: stefan colovic
⚽Zubairu Ibrahimassist: Samson Nwulu
16'
21'
L. Pejović
Nikola Simić
30'
36'
⚽Danilo Knežević
40'
Nemanja Stevanović
🔁Milan aleksicout: Erik Kojzek
45'
🔁Nikola Cumicout: Milan Vukotic
55'
57'
🔁Bosko Vrastanovicout: Darko Terzić
🔁Zubairu Ibrahimout: Nemanja Trifunovic
67'
🔁Iddrisu Babaout: Bogdan Kostić
68'
69'
Vasilije Đurić
Milan Vukotic
75'
🔁Mario Jurčevičout: Mateja Milovanovic
77'
77'
🔁Danilo Kneževićout: Nikša Delibašić
77'
🔁L. Pejovićout: mitar ergelas
78'
🔁Milan Vidakovout: Slobodan Sladojević
82'
🔁stefan colovicout: Nikola Lainović
83'
Darko Terzić
Stefan Milic
84'

Match stats — FK Partizan vs Macva

67%Possession33%
20Shots8
6On target6
10Corners0
1.03xG1.53

Goals against chances

FK Partizan1 from 1.03 xGabout what the chances were worth
Macva2 from 1.53 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

FK Partizan 4-2-3-1
  • 1M. MiloševićG
  • 20Samson NwuluD
  • 44S. MilićD
  • 40N. SimićD
  • 4M. JurčevičD
  • 14I. BabaM
  • 10I. MiladinovićM
  • 39Z. IbrahimM
  • 17M. AleksićM
  • 27N. ČumićM
  • 89JehF
Substitutes
  • 90Z. AlilovićM
  • 24V. ĐurđevićD
  • 9E. KojzekF
  • 99B. KostićF
  • 31M. KrunićG
  • 21Sidney LimaD
  • 5M. MilovanovićD
  • 23S. MitrovićD
  • 32N. TrifunovićM
Coach: A. Stanojević
Macva 4-2-3-1
  • 89V. JovanovićG
  • 4V. IlicD
  • 26U. DrezgićD
  • 19I. RistivojevićD
  • 44N. StevanovićD
  • 34Danilo KneževićM
  • 8B. VraštanovićM
  • 55S. ČolovićM
  • 21Vasilije ĐurićM
  • 27L. PejovićM
  • 9M. VidakovF
Substitutes
  • 10M. ErgelašF
  • 99N. DelibasicF
  • 22K. TojčićD
  • 15S. SladojevićM
  • 35Issa KoneD
  • 11V. RakićM
  • 12K. RakonicG
  • 5Darko TerzićM
  • 50B. MatićF
Coach: N. Glušica

Form going into FK Partizan vs Macva

FK Partizan

Super Liga

  • W3-0Zemun1 November 2026
  • W3-2away to Radnicki NIS28 October 2026
  • L0-2Cukaricki24 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Železničar Pančevo18 October 2026

Macva

Super Liga

  • L2-4FK Crvena Zvezda31 October 2026
  • L0-1away to Zemun23 October 2026
  • D1-1OFK Beograd17 October 2026
  • D2-2away to Cukaricki10 October 2026

What these results say

  • FK Partizan conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
  • Macva did not win any of these 4 matches.
  • Macva conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
  • Macva scored in 3 of these 4 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Serbia Super Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
10FK Partizan155282526-117
11Macva153481326-1313

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: FK Partizan vs Macva

  • 26 July 2026Macva 1–3 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 28 October 2025Macva 2–0 FK PartizanCup
  • 16 April 2021Macva 1–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 31 October 2020FK Partizan 2–0 MacvaSuper Liga
  • 1 December 2019Macva 0–2 FK PartizanSuper Liga
  • 4 August 2019FK Partizan 4–0 MacvaSuper Liga

Leading scorers: FK Partizan and Macva

FK Partizan

GoalsAssists

  • E. Kojzek32

Macva

GoalsAssists

  • M. Vidakov40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Macva won 2–1 at FK Partizan. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Partizan at 62% and given a win for Macva 17%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 6 matches like this one. The goals: Vasilije Đurić 8' for Macva, Zubairu Ibrahim 16' for FK Partizan, Danilo Knežević 36' for Macva. On expected goals it finished 1.03–1.53.

What this result changed

Before kick-off the season simulation gave FK Partizan a 37.8% chance to finish in the top six: 43.1% after a win, 28.1% after a draw, 21.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 21.9%, 15.9 points lower than before the match.

For Macva the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 71.8% going in: 55.0% after a win, 69.9% after a draw, 76.2% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 55.0%, 16.8 points lower than before the match.

Read from our Super Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.