Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Pyramids FC 2-1 Wadi Degla.
Before kick-off the model made it 53% Pyramids FC, 27% draw, 20% Wadi Degla — fair odds of 1.89, 3.70 and 5.00.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
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Has the model earned this number?
Pyramids FC at 53%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla
Goals against chances
Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.
Line-ups
- 1Ahmed El ShenawyG
- 15M. ChibiD
- 3Mahmoud MareiD
- 4Ahmed SamyD
- 29Karim HafezD
- 8Mahmoud SaberM
- 14Mohanad LasheenM
- 11Mostafa FathiM
- 22Nasser MaherM
- 17Mahmoud ZalakaM
- 30Mostafa ZicoF
- 9Ahmed AbdelkaderM
- 28M. GadG
- 24Khaled Mohamed AwadD
- 34Eyad El AskalanyD
- 18W. El KartiM
- 23Ahmed Atef OttaM
- 25Odeh Al FakhouriF
- 5H. HamdanM
- 7Youssef ObamaM
- 1Amr HossamG
- 19A. MahmoudD
- 40Ahmed AbdinD
- 3Omar AdlyD
- 21Ahmed RedaD
- 25Ibrahim El BahnasiM
- 8Ahmed ScholesM
- 7Youssef OyaM
- 17H. HassanM
- 22ZizoM
- 10Mahmoud DiastyF
- 34M. KaandorpM
- 27Ahmed RefaatF
- 24Mohamed Ragab El SafiD
- 23Ahmed AymanD
- 4Islam Adel KanuM
- 11Mohamed AbdelrahimF
- 15Yehia Mostafa Mohamed AbbasD
- 13Z. SeyamG
- 9F. BoliF
Form going into Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla
Pyramids FC
Premier League
- W4-1away to El Geish20 October 2026
- W4-1Ceramica Cleopatra12 October 2026
- W2-1away to Enppi17 September 2026
- W1-0El Gouna FC9 September 2026
Wadi Degla
Premier League
- D1-1National Bank of Egypt20 October 2026
- D2-2away to Petrojet13 October 2026
- L0-2El Mokawloon15 September 2026
- L1-2away to Future FC9 September 2026
What these results say
- Pyramids FC won every one of these 4 matches.
- Pyramids FC scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Pyramids FC conceded in 3 of these 4 matches.
- Wadi Degla did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Wadi Degla conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Wadi Degla scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Egypt Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pyramids FC | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 4 | +15 | 24 |
| 15 | Wadi Degla | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -2 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Pyramids FC vs Wadi Degla
- 10 January 2026Wadi Degla 4–0 Pyramids FCLeague Cup
- 8 August 2025Wadi Degla 0–0 Pyramids FCPremier League
- 6 May 2021Wadi Degla 1–3 Pyramids FCPremier League
- 11 January 2021Pyramids FC 1–1 Wadi DeglaPremier League
- 16 September 2020Wadi Degla 0–2 Pyramids FCPremier League
- 25 December 2019Pyramids FC 1–0 Wadi DeglaPremier League
Leading scorers: Pyramids FC and Wadi Degla
Pyramids FC
GoalsAssists
- Mostafa Zico31
- Mohanad Lasheen23
- Youssef Obama21
Wadi Degla
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 8 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Pyramids FC beat Wadi Degla 2–1. The model had made a win for Pyramids FC its most likely outcome, at 53%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: Mahmoud Saber 11' for Pyramids FC, Ahmed Abdin 38' for Wadi Degla, Mostafa Zico 58' for Pyramids FC. On expected goals it finished 1.97–1.36.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Pyramids FC a 60.5% chance to finish top of the regular season: 67.3% after a win, 53.6% after a draw, 49.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 67.3%, 6.8 points higher than before the match.
For Wadi Degla the question was the chance to finish in the top six, 10.2% going in: 18.0% after a win, 9.8% after a draw, 6.9% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 6.9%, 3.3 points lower than before the match.
Read from our Premier League season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.