Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Radomiak Radom 0-2 Piast Gliwice.
Before kick-off the model made it 38% Radomiak Radom, 29% draw, 33% Piast Gliwice — fair odds of 2.63, 3.45 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Radomiak Radom at 38%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
Line-ups
- 1F. MajchrowiczG
- 24Z. OuattaraD
- 3K. SzcześniakD
- 72F. KoperskiD
- 13J. GrzesikD
- 77C. DonisM
- 90Ronaldo AfonsoM
- 27R. WolskiM
- 82LuquinhasM
- 15A. TapsobaM
- 80Guilherme LuizF
- 28Romário BaróM
- 8I. CamaráM
- 26Adrián DiéguezD
- 11F. GouréF
- 99B. GradeckiG
- 23K. KarasekM
- 47S. KilianekD
- 14S. KingueD
- 18ManuF
- 75D. GrilG
- 99E. TwumasiD
- 5Juande RivasD
- 4J. CzerwińskiD
- 36J. LewickiD
- 90Ivan LimaM
- 27J. ŁabojkoM
- 17Q. BoisgardM
- 80Hugo VallejoM
- 11Leandro SancaF
- 19S. Ntamack NdimbaF
- 28F. BorowskiD
- 15L. PitanD
- 77S. MuchaM
- 12Marcel Mendes-DudzińskiG
- 18O. MaziarzM
- 98J. LokiloF
- 31O. LeśniakM
- 10A. KatsantonisF
- 47J. GrelichG
Form going into Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
All competitions we cover
- D0-0away to Widzew Łódź5 September 2026
- W2-1Cracovia Krakow29 August 2026
- D0-0Zaglebie Lubin23 August 2026
- L0-5away to Legia Warszawa14 August 2026
- L1-3Gornik Zabrze8 August 2026
Piast Gliwice
All competitions we cover
- W3-0GKS Katowice4 September 2026
- W2-0away to Motor Lublin29 August 2026
- D1-1Legia Warszawa22 August 2026
- L3-4Wieczysta Kraków15 August 2026
- L0-3away to Lech Poznan9 August 2026
What these results say
- Radomiak Radom failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- Piast Gliwice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Radomiak Radom | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 14 |
| 7 | Piast Gliwice | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 20 | +4 | 22 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Radomiak Radom vs Piast Gliwice
- 20 March 2026Piast Gliwice 3–1 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 20 September 2025Radomiak Radom 1–0 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 4 May 2025Piast Gliwice 0–0 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
- 3 November 2024Radomiak Radom 1–1 Piast GliwiceEkstraklasa
- 8 March 2024Piast Gliwice 2–3 Radomiak RadomEkstraklasa
Leading scorers: Radomiak Radom and Piast Gliwice
Radomiak Radom
GoalsAssists
- J. Grzesik53
Piast Gliwice
GoalsAssists
- Hugo Vallejo51
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Piast Gliwice won 2–0 at Radomiak Radom. The model had leaned towards a win for Radomiak Radom at 38% and given a win for Piast Gliwice 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Hugo Vallejo 45+1' for Piast Gliwice, Jakub Labojko (penalty) 67' for Piast Gliwice.
How the call on Radomiak Radom v Piast Gliwice has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 42% / 28% / 30% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 6 updates, it read 38% / 29% / 33%: the biggest move is Radomiak Radom's chance of winning, down 4 points.
- Radomiak Radom win38%▼ −4
- Draw29%▲ +1
- Piast Gliwice win33%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.