Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź Ekstraklasa prediction & result
Final score: Legia Warszawa 1-1 Widzew Łódź.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% Legia Warszawa, 29% draw, 27% Widzew Łódź — fair odds of 2.27, 3.45 and 3.70. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Legia Warszawa at 44% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź
Line-ups
- 89O. HindrichG
- 91K. PiątkowskiD
- 8R. AugustyniakD
- 5Robert DezielD
- 22P. WszołekM
- 53W. UrbańskiM
- 67B. KapustkaM
- 19Rúben VinagreM
- 23M. ŠevčíkF
- 7J. KuchtaF
- 17M. SzczepaniakF
- 1I. BrkićG
- 24Z. ArsenićD
- 9R. AdamskiF
- 11K. ChodynaM
- 13A. RecaD
- 6Henrique ArreiolM
- 4D. SzymańskiM
- 27Bogdan V'YunnikF
- 79Ł. ZjawińskiF
- 1B. DrągowskiG
- 91M. KrajewskiD
- 25P. WiśniewskiD
- 3S. KapuadiD
- 40Mario GarcíaD
- 5G. PapanikolaouM
- 79S. BiukM
- 10Fran ÁlvarezM
- 8E. KornvigM
- 7M. FornalczykM
- 28K. ŚwiderskiF
- 4M. ŻyroD
- 14VisusD
- 90Ioan VermeșanF
- 18L. SelahiM
- 20A. KlukowskiM
- 30V. IlićG
- 99S. BergierF
- 80Dani SilvaM
Form going into Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź
Legia Warszawa
- W3-2away to Motor Lublin5 September 2026
- D1-1Slask Wroclaw28 August 2026
- D1-1away to Piast Gliwice22 August 2026
- W5-0Radomiak Radom14 August 2026
Widzew Łódź
- D0-0Radomiak Radom5 September 2026
- L2-3Lech Poznan30 August 2026
- D3-3away to Slask Wroclaw22 August 2026
- L1-2Korona Kielce15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Ekstraklasa table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Legia Warszawa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 11 | Widzew Łódź | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Łódź
- 13 September 2026Legia Warszawa 1–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 1 May 2026Legia Warszawa 1–0 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 2 November 2025Widzew Łódź 1–1 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- 15 May 2025Widzew Łódź 0–2 Legia WarszawaEkstraklasa
- 3 November 2024Legia Warszawa 2–1 Widzew ŁódźEkstraklasa
- 12 July 2024Legia Warszawa 2–1 Widzew ŁódźFriendlies Clubs
Leading scorers: Legia Warszawa and Widzew Łódź
Legia Warszawa
- R. Augustyniak3 goals1 assists
- R. Adamski3 goals
- Ł. Zjawiński3 goals
Widzew Łódź
No player in Ekstraklasa's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.