RED Star FC 93 vs Metz Ligue 2 prediction & result
Final score: RED Star FC 93 1-0 Metz.
Before kick-off the model made it 30% RED Star FC 93, 28% draw, 42% Metz — fair odds of 3.33, 3.57 and 2.38.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Metz at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — RED Star FC 93 vs Metz
Line-ups
- 16G. PoussinG
- 2T. MagninD
- 20D. DurivauxD
- 4E. ZidaneD
- 3M. HuardD
- 19I. HalifaM
- 17S. RenelM
- 11K. CisséM
- 10S. KhaouiM
- 23J. Ikanga A NgeleM
- 91K. CabralF
- 5J. EscartinD
- 45Cheick KonateM
- 21Idrissa SabalyM
- 8G. TraniM
- 27G. KyeremehF
- 7D. DurandF
- 6B. DangerD
- 1Yanis Benchaouch MartyG
- 25Leonardo ButaD
- 1J. FischerG
- 70B. SarrD
- 42C. DevenishD
- 4U. MboulaD
- 2M. ColinD
- 18B. MunongoM
- 8J. DeminguetM
- 21J. PandoreM
- 10T. SavanierM
- 9G. AbuashviliM
- 11P. FallF
- 88A. Agne BaF
- 22N. MbalaF
- 33Abdourahmane MbodjF
- 6N. MendyM
- 3F. MiguelD
- 5J. RuizD
- 7Ibou SanéF
- 39B. SongD
- 61P. SyG
Form going into RED Star FC 93 vs Metz
RED Star FC 93
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Laval4 September 2026
- L1-4Reims29 August 2026
- D1-1away to Boulogne21 August 2026
- D0-0Sochaux14 August 2026
- W1-0away to Nantes8 August 2026
Metz
All competitions we cover
- W4-1Rodez5 September 2026
- D1-1away to Annecy29 August 2026
- D1-1Laval22 August 2026
- D0-0away to Grenoble14 August 2026
- W2-1Guingamp8 August 2026
What these results say
- RED Star FC 93 scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Metz went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Metz scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
- Metz conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 2 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | RED Star FC 93 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 17 |
| 7 | Metz | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 19 | +1 | 17 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: RED Star FC 93 vs Metz
- 19 July 2025Metz 4–0 RED Star FC 93Friendlies Clubs
- 19 April 2025Metz 2–2 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
- 29 October 2024RED Star FC 93 1–0 MetzLigue 2
- 26 April 2019RED Star FC 93 1–2 MetzLigue 2
- 4 December 2018Metz 2–0 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
Leading scorers: RED Star FC 93 and Metz
RED Star FC 93
GoalsAssists
- D. Durand50
- J. Ikanga A Ngele42
Metz
GoalsAssists
- P. Fall81
- J. Deminguet33
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
RED Star FC 93 beat Metz 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Metz at 42% and given a win for RED Star FC 93 30%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: Jovany Ikanga A Ngele (penalty) 58' for RED Star FC 93.
How the call on RED Star FC 93 v Metz has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 32% / 29% / 39% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 4 updates, it read 30% / 28% / 42%: the biggest move is Metz's chance of winning, up 3 points.
- RED Star FC 93 win30%▼ −2
- Draw28%▼ −1
- Metz win42%▲ +3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.