Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park Championship prediction & result
Final score: Raith Rovers 2-0 Queen's Park.
Before kick-off the model made it 63% Raith Rovers, 22% draw, 15% Queen's Park — fair odds of 1.59, 4.55 and 6.67.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
All Scottish Championship predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Raith Rovers at 63%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Form going into Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park
Raith Rovers
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Morton3 October 2026
Queen's Park
No earlier matches on record this season.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Scotland Championship table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Raith Rovers | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 25 |
| 10 | Queen's Park | 15 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 25 | -17 | 7 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Raith Rovers vs Queen's Park
- 8 August 2026Queen's Park 1–2 Raith RoversChampionship
- 14 April 2026Queen's Park 0–2 Raith RoversChampionship
- 27 January 2026Queen's Park 1–1 Raith RoversChallenge Cup
- 24 January 2026Raith Rovers 4–1 Queen's ParkChampionship
- 8 November 2025Queen's Park 2–1 Raith RoversChampionship
- 2 August 2025Raith Rovers 1–1 Queen's ParkChampionship
The result against the call
Raith Rovers beat Queen's Park 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Raith Rovers at 63%. The goals: S. Brown 31' for Raith Rovers, K. Turner (penalty) 66' for Raith Rovers.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Raith Rovers a 45.2% chance to finish in the top four: 47.8% after a win, 40.0% after a draw, 36.9% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 47.8%, 2.6 points higher than before the match.
Read from our Championship season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Raith Rovers v Queen's Park has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 56% / 25% / 19% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 63% / 22% / 15%: the biggest move is Raith Rovers's chance of winning, up 7 points.
- Raith Rovers win63%▲ +7
- Draw22%▼ −3
- Queen's Park win15%▼ −4
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.