Rangers vs FK Jablonec UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Rangers 1-0 FK Jablonec.
Before kick-off the model made it 31% Rangers, 23% draw, 46% FK Jablonec — fair odds of 3.23, 4.35 and 2.17.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: FK Jablonec v Rangers, 27 Aug →
FK Jablonec went through on penalties, after 1–1 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
FK Jablonec at 46%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Rangers vs FK Jablonec
Line-ups
- 1I. PandurG
- 21D. SterlingD
- 37E. FernandezD
- 24O. MakhanyaD
- 29J. PenriceD
- 22V. DragojevicM
- 6D. NeilM
- 42T. ChukwuaniM
- 17D. YokotaF
- 20R. NaderiF
- 23D. GassamaF
- 31L. KellyG
- 2R. McCrorieD
- 18K. NedeljkovicD
- 43N. RaskinM
- 16L. CameronM
- 11T. AasgaardM
- 8C. BarronM
- 14C. DevlinM
- 52F. CurtisF
- 1J. HanusG
- 18M. CedidlaD
- 4N. TekijaskiD
- 15D. PavlovicD
- 20J. SlamaD
- 13R. SedlacekM
- 25S. NebylaM
- 7V. ChanturishviliM
- 10J. SuchanM
- 21M. PolidarM
- 44L. JawoF
- 99K. MihelakG
- 57F. NovakD
- 23E. SobolD
- 14D. SoucekD
- 8F. ZorvanM
- 16H. AhlM
- 19J. ChramostaF
- 9A. RusekF
- 27F. VechetaF
Form going into Rangers vs FK Jablonec
Rangers
All competitions we cover
- D1-1Jagiellonia13 August 2026
- L1-2Hibernian9 August 2026
- L1-2away to Jagiellonia6 August 2026
- D1-1away to Dundee United31 July 2026
FK Jablonec
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Rīgas FS13 August 2026
- W1-0Slovácko9 August 2026
- W2-0Rīgas FS6 August 2026
- W2-0away to Pardubice2 August 2026
- W2-0NK Varazdin30 July 2026
What these results say
- Rangers did not win any of these 4 matches.
- Rangers scored in every one of these 4 matches.
- Rangers conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- FK Jablonec won every one of these 5 matches.
- FK Jablonec scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- FK Jablonec kept a clean sheet in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Rangers and FK Jablonec in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rangers | Premiership | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 9 | +12 | 27 |
| 23 | FK Jablonec | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 2 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premiership · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Rangers and FK Jablonec
Rangers
GoalsAssists
- R. Naderi63
- K. Kelsy40
FK Jablonec
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 3 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Rangers beat FK Jablonec 1–0. The model had leaned towards a win for FK Jablonec at 46% and given a win for Rangers 31%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goal: R. Naderi 50' for Rangers. Sent off: Cameron Devlin (Rangers) 74'.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.