FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC St. Gallen.
Before kick-off the model made it 68% FC Nordsjaelland, 15% draw, 17% FC St. Gallen — fair odds of 1.47, 6.67 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 3-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FC Nordsjaelland at 68% here. Across 2488 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen
FC Nordsjaelland
- W1-0Silkeborg16 August 2026
- W5-0Valur Reykjavik13 August 2026
- W2-0away to Valur Reykjavik6 August 2026
- W1-0Randers FC2 August 2026
- W6-0Gais30 July 2026
FC St. Gallen
- W5-1Sheriff Tiraspol13 August 2026
- D2-2FC Luzern9 August 2026
- W3-1away to Sheriff Tiraspol6 August 2026
- W3-2away to FC Vaduz2 August 2026
- L0-5away to Benfica30 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
FC Nordsjaelland and FC St. Gallen in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Nordsjaelland | Superliga | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | +7 | 17 |
| 6 | FC St. Gallen | Super League | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 10 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Superliga · Super League
Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and FC St. Gallen
FC Nordsjaelland
- H. Boe Rasmussen3 goals1 assists
FC St. Gallen
- A. Hunziker3 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.