20 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result

Right to Dream Park, Farum
Full time1 – 0

Final score: FC Nordsjaelland 1-0 FC St. Gallen.

Before kick-off the model made it 68% FC Nordsjaelland, 15% draw, 17% FC St. Gallen — fair odds of 1.47, 6.67 and 5.88.

Most likely scoreline: 3-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

The tie

First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: FC St. Gallen v FC Nordsjaelland, 27 Aug →

FC Nordsjaelland went through 4–2 on aggregate.

Has the model earned this number?

FC Nordsjaelland at 68%: of 505 settled 65–100% forecasts, 68.3% came in (average 72.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

FC Nordsjaelland95%Draw5%FC St. Gallen0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽N. Rojkjaerassist: I. Adel
13'
39'
Leon Frokaj
46'
🔁L. Frokajout: C. Witzig
🔁P. Amoakoout: A. Lind
60'
🔁I. Adelout: H. Rasmussen
61'
66'
Lukas Daschner
66'
🔁A. Hunzikerout: D. Besio
67'
🔁H. Vandermerschout: E. Owusu
🔁N. Rojkjaerout: M. Brink
71'
🔁L. Sadioout: V. Berthelsen
71'
76'
🔁L. Daschnerout: B. Fazliji
79'
Lukas Görtler
81'
🔁A. Baldeout: M. Efekele

Match stats — FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen

54%Possession46%
12Shots19
4On target6
3Corners5

Line-ups

FC Nordsjaelland 3-4-3
  • 13A. HansenG
  • 2P. AnkersenD
  • 3T. SalquistD
  • 15S. AcquahD
  • 23R. NorheimM
  • 18J. JanssenM
  • 8N. RojkjaerM
  • 25J. LahteenmakiM
  • 37L. SadioF
  • 14I. AdelF
  • 10P. AmoakoF
Substitutes
  • 31A. SondenbroeG
  • 22C. ErikssonG
  • 32V. GustafsenD
  • 42M. TukaD
  • 35V. RutkjaerD
  • 4N. MarkmannD
  • 28M. WalkerD
  • 6M. BrinkM
  • 11A. LindF
Coach: Jens Olsen
FC St. Gallen 3-1-4-2
  • 1L. Ati ZigiG
  • 74J. RuizD
  • 4J. StanicD
  • 36C. OkorojiD
  • 10L. DaschnerM
  • 28H. VandermerschM
  • 16L. GortlerM
  • 20L. Frokaj
  • 64M. StevanovicM
  • 14A. BaldeF
  • 9A. HunzikerF
Substitutes
  • 35B. DumrathG
  • 25L. WatkowiakG
  • 3C. Kleine-BekelD
  • 68M. Heydari
  • 23B. FazlijiM
  • 7C. WitzigM
  • 63C. KonietzkeM
  • 47E. OwusuM
  • 21M. EfekeleF
Coach: Enrico Maassen

Form going into FC Nordsjaelland vs FC St. Gallen

FC Nordsjaelland

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Silkeborg16 August 2026
  • W5-0Valur Reykjavik13 August 2026
  • W2-0away to Valur Reykjavik6 August 2026
  • W1-0Randers FC2 August 2026
  • W6-0Gais30 July 2026

FC St. Gallen

All competitions we cover

  • W5-1Sheriff Tiraspol13 August 2026
  • D2-2FC Luzern9 August 2026
  • W3-1away to Sheriff Tiraspol6 August 2026
  • W3-2away to FC Vaduz2 August 2026
  • L0-5away to Benfica30 July 2026

What these results say

  • FC Nordsjaelland won every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC Nordsjaelland kept a clean sheet in every one of these 5 matches.
  • FC St. Gallen conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for FC St. Gallen had three goals or more.
  • FC St. Gallen scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

FC Nordsjaelland and FC St. Gallen in their domestic leagues

#TeamLeaguePWDLGFGAGDPts
25FC NordsjaellandUEFA Europa Conference League302135-22
4FC St. GallenSuper League137152422+222

Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: UEFA Europa Conference League · Switzerland Super League

Leading scorers: FC Nordsjaelland and FC St. Gallen

FC Nordsjaelland

GoalsAssists

  • N. Røjkjær42

FC St. Gallen

GoalsAssists

  • L. Görtler42
  • A. Hunziker40

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

FC Nordsjaelland beat FC St. Gallen 1–0. The model had made a win for FC Nordsjaelland its most likely outcome, at 68%, so the call held; the score it named was 3–1. The goal: N. Rojkjaer 13' for FC Nordsjaelland.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.