FC Sion vs Ajax UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: FC Sion 2-4 Ajax.
Before kick-off the model made it 33% FC Sion, 28% draw, 39% Ajax — fair odds of 3.03, 3.57 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 0-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: Ajax v FC Sion, 27 Aug →
Ajax went through 9–5 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Ajax at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 6 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — FC Sion vs Ajax
Line-ups
- 1A. RacioppiG
- 14N. LavanchyD
- 5N. SowD
- 17J. KronigD
- 20N. HeftiD
- 88A. KabacalmanM
- 8BaltazarM
- 7I. ChouarefM
- 13W. BoteliM
- 19F. SurdezM
- 33R. NivokaziF
- 12F. RubertoG
- 40S. CailletG
- 6Marquinhos CiprianoD
- 55L. VillaD
- 38R. KesslerD
- 10B. KololliM
- 77D. RrudhaniM
- 21L. ChipperfieldM
- 37F. SyllaM
- 1M. ter StegenG
- 3A. GaaeiD
- 30A. BouwmanD
- 15Y. BaasD
- 12Caio HenriqueD
- 18D. KlaassenM
- 6Y. RegeerM
- 8J. BrandtM
- 23S. BerghuisF
- 38Marcos LeonardoF
- 10O. GloukhF
- 22J. HeerkensG
- 26M. PaesG
- 5O. WijndalD
- 37J. SutaloD
- 36D. JanseD
- 21J. TorrentsD
- 2L. RosaD
- 68A. OuazaneM
- 24J. MokioM
Form going into FC Sion vs Ajax
FC Sion
All competitions we cover
- W2-1FC Noah13 August 2026
- W3-2FC Vaduz9 August 2026
- D2-2away to FC Noah6 August 2026
- W3-0FC Luzern2 August 2026
- W4-0Bate Borisov30 July 2026
Ajax
All competitions we cover
- D2-2Heerenveen16 August 2026
- D2-2away to Shelbourne13 August 2026
- W2-0away to PEC Zwolle9 August 2026
- W3-1Shelbourne6 August 2026
- W4-1Vojvodina30 July 2026
What these results say
- FC Sion went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- FC Sion scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Every one of these 5 matches for FC Sion had three goals or more.
- Ajax went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
- Ajax scored in every one of these 5 matches.
- Ajax conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
FC Sion and Ajax in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | FC Sion | Super League | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 18 | +11 | 26 |
| 11 | Ajax | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 6 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Switzerland Super League · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: FC Sion and Ajax
FC Sion
GoalsAssists
- Winsley Boteli Mokango64
- R. Nivokazi50
Ajax
GoalsAssists
- T. Arokodare63
- D. Klaassen60
- O. Gloukh52
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Ajax won 4–2 at FC Sion. The model had made a win for Ajax its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 1–0. The goals: F. Surdez 34' for FC Sion, J. Brandt 53' for Ajax, Marcos Leonardo 60' for Ajax, I. Chouaref (penalty) 72' for FC Sion, T. Arokodare 74' for Ajax, D. Klaassen 87' for Ajax.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.