Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS UEFA Europa Conference League prediction & result
Final score: Shamrock Rovers 1-1 KuPS.
Before kick-off the model made it 17% Shamrock Rovers, 19% draw, 64% KuPS — fair odds of 5.88, 5.26 and 1.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
The tie
First leg of the UEFA Europa Conference League Playoff round tie. Second leg: KuPS v Shamrock Rovers, 27 Aug →
KuPS went through 2–1 on aggregate.
All Conference League predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
KuPS at 64%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS
Line-ups
- 1E. McGintyG
- 5L. GraceD
- 4R. LopesD
- 3E. StevensD
- 22T. SobowaleD
- 7D. WattsM
- 8M. HealyM
- 29J. ByrneM
- 24W. FitzgeraldM
- 18J. AfolabiF
- 10G. BurkeF
- 25L. SteacyG
- 41A. NoonanG
- 9A. GreeneF
- 11J. MulraneyM
- 14D. MandroiuM
- 15M. AsamoahF
- 17L. O'Regan
- 19A. BrennanM
- 26J. O'Sullivan
- 1J. KreidlG
- 6S. SavolainenD
- 28B. MagassaD
- 4K. Adams
- 25C. AntwiD
- 10V. R. GascM
- 22S. TourayM
- 16T. JyryM
- 8P. PennanenM
- 24B. ArmahD
- 11J. J. Moreno CiorciariF
- 12H. RiihimakiG
- 37K. SilenG
- 9G. EngvallF
- 13N. KujasaloM
- 14S. PasanenM
- 17A. HeinonenM
- 20P. ParzyszekF
- 21J. Luyeye-LutumbaM
- 23A. LotjonenD
Form going into Shamrock Rovers vs KuPS
Shamrock Rovers
All competitions we cover
- L1-5away to Egnatia Rrogozhinë13 August 2026
- W3-1Egnatia Rrogozhinë4 August 2026
- W2-1Ararat-Armenia28 July 2026
- L0-2away to Ararat-Armenia21 July 2026
KuPS
All competitions we cover
- W2-1away to Lahti16 August 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Craiova13 August 2026
- D1-1Turku PS9 August 2026
- D1-1Universitatea Craiova6 August 2026
- L0-2Sabah FA28 July 2026
What these results say
- Shamrock Rovers conceded in every one of these 4 matches.
- Shamrock Rovers scored in 3 of these 4 matches.
- 3 of these 4 matches for Shamrock Rovers had three goals or more.
- KuPS conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
- KuPS failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
- KuPS scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Shamrock Rovers and KuPS in their domestic leagues
| # | Team | League | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | Premier Division | 36 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 59 | 38 | +21 | 68 |
| 33 | KuPS | UEFA Europa Conference League | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
Each side's position in its own domestic league today, not on the day of this match — they meet here from different competitions. Full tables: Premier Division · UEFA Europa Conference League
Leading scorers: Shamrock Rovers and KuPS
Shamrock Rovers
GoalsAssists
- J. McGovern107
- G. Burke84
KuPS
No player in UEFA Europa Conference League's leading scorers — 2 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Shamrock Rovers and KuPS drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for KuPS at 64% and given a draw 19%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 5 matches like this one. The goals: E. Stevens 49' for Shamrock Rovers, P. Parzyszek 85' for KuPS.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent matches in our records (any competition, kept since July 2026) before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.