31 August 2026, 17:30 UTC

Rapid vs Universitatea Craiova Liga I prediction & result

Giulesti Stadium, Bucharest
Full time1 – 1

Final score: Rapid 1-1 Universitatea Craiova.

Before kick-off the model made it 49% Rapid, 27% draw, 24% Universitatea Craiova — fair odds of 2.04, 3.70 and 4.17.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rapid at 49%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rapid6%Draw91%Universitatea Craiova3%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

29'
⚽N. Stevanovicassist: D. Matei
42'
Assad Al-Hamlawi
45+2'
David Matei
🔁C. B. Doumbiaout: M. Kamara
46'
46'
🔁A. Al Hamlawiout: S. Nsimba
63'
🔁T. Balutaout: Teles
63'
🔁S. Baiaramout: M. Etim
🔁R. Salceanuout: R. Pop
67'
⚽F. Stojilkovicassist: O. Morutan
67'
Mohammed Kamara
69'
Alexandru Paşcanu
71'
71'
Nicușor Bancu
🔁A. Pascanuout: D. Ciobotariu
79'
🔁O. Morutanout: W. L. Ouedraogo
79'
🔁C. Grameniout: V. Bubanja
79'
81'
🔁D. Mateiout: L. Basceanu
Cătălin Vulturar
90+4'
Vladan Bubanja
90+1'
90+3'
🔁A. Cicaldauout: A. Cretu

Match stats — Rapid vs Universitatea Craiova

45%Possession55%
15Shots21
6On target6
3Corners3
1.39xG2.06

Goals against chances

Rapid1 from 1.39 xGabout what the chances were worth
Universitatea Craiova1 from 2.06 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Rapid 4-3-3
  • 16M. AioaniG
  • 19R. OneaD
  • 5A. PascanuD
  • 6L. KramerD
  • 21R. SalceanuD
  • 8C. GrameniM
  • 15C. VulturarM
  • 44C. B. DoumbiaM
  • 80O. MorutanF
  • 9F. StojilkovicF
  • 29A. DobreF
Substitutes
  • 99B. UngureanuG
  • 23C. ManeaD
  • 13D. CiobotariuD
  • 42A. Kumer CelikD
  • 66W. L. OuedraogoD
  • 22V. BubanjaM
  • 79E. TapeM
  • 88O. El SawyM
  • 7M. KamaraF
Coach: Daniel Pancu
Universitatea Craiova 3-4-3
  • 21L. PopescuG
  • 3O. RomanchukD
  • 24N. StevanovicD
  • 6V. ScreciuD
  • 17C. MoraM
  • 8T. BalutaM
  • 20A. CicaldauM
  • 11N. BancuM
  • 30D. MateiF
  • 9A. Al HamlawiF
  • 10S. BaiaramF
Substitutes
  • 90R. SavaG
  • 1A. MaximG
  • 31R. WebsterD
  • 4A. CretuM
  • 23TelesM
  • 29L. BasceanuM
  • 19Heriberto TavaresD
  • 7S. NsimbaF
  • 12M. EtimF
Coach: Filipe Coelho

Form going into Rapid vs Universitatea Craiova

Rapid

All competitions we cover

  • W2-0away to Petrolul Ploiesti21 August 2026
  • L0-1Dinamo Bucuresti15 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Uta Arad7 August 2026
  • W3-1CFR 1907 Cluj2 August 2026
  • D1-1away to FC Botosani27 July 2026

Universitatea Craiova

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Ararat-Armenia27 August 2026
  • W3-1FC Voluntari23 August 2026
  • D1-1Ararat-Armenia20 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Oțelul16 August 2026
  • W2-1KuPS13 August 2026

What these results say

  • 4 of these 5 matches for Rapid had two goals or fewer.
  • Universitatea Craiova conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Universitatea Craiova scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Both sides scored in 4 of these 5 matches for Universitatea Craiova.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
3Rapid159422414+1031
1Universitatea Craiova1510323410+2433

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rapid vs Universitatea Craiova

  • 25 May 2026Rapid 0–0 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • 19 April 2026Universitatea Craiova 1–0 RapidLiga I
  • 8 March 2026Rapid 1–1 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I
  • 2 November 2025Universitatea Craiova 2–2 RapidLiga I
  • 2 May 2025Universitatea Craiova 1–2 RapidLiga I
  • 29 March 2025Rapid 1–2 Universitatea CraiovaLiga I

Leading scorers: Rapid and Universitatea Craiova

Rapid

GoalsAssists

  • A. Dobre60
  • F. Stojilković41

Universitatea Craiova

GoalsAssists

  • S. Elisor90
  • A. Al Hamlawi70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Rapid and Universitatea Craiova drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for Rapid at 49% and given a draw 27%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: N. Stevanovic 29' for Universitatea Craiova, F. Stojilkovic 67' for Rapid. On expected goals it finished 1.39–2.06.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.