FCSB vs Uta Arad Liga I prediction & result
Final score: FCSB 1-3 Uta Arad.
Before kick-off the model made it 44% FCSB, 30% draw, 26% Uta Arad — fair odds of 2.27, 3.33 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts FCSB at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into FCSB vs Uta Arad
FCSB
- L0-1away to CFR 1907 Cluj23 August 2026
- W3-2FC Botosani17 August 2026
Uta Arad
- D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara22 August 2026
- L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj17 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FCSB | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 12 |
| 14 | Uta Arad | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 9 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: FCSB vs Uta Arad
- 20 March 2026FCSB 1–0 Uta AradLiga I
- 1 March 2026Uta Arad 2–4 FCSBLiga I
- 3 December 2025Uta Arad 3–0 FCSBCupa României
- 26 October 2025FCSB 4–0 Uta AradLiga I
- 26 January 2025Uta Arad 0–1 FCSBLiga I
- 1 September 2024FCSB 2–0 Uta AradLiga I
Leading scorers: FCSB and Uta Arad
FCSB
- D. Bîrligea3 goals
Uta Arad
- M. Coman4 goals
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.