29 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I prediction & result

Mioveni
Full time0 – 1

Final score: Arges Pitesti 0-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.

Before kick-off the model made it 45% Arges Pitesti, 29% draw, 26% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Arges Pitesti at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Arges Pitesti0%Draw4%Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe96%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

Taylor Luvambo
43'
🔁P. Dulceaout: Y. Pirvu
46'
Silviu Balaure
52'
61'
🔁M. Mawaout: C. Davordzie
🔁O. Alagbeout: V. Rata
67'
🔁R. Moldoveanuout: G. Charpentier
67'
81'
Nacho Heras
82'
🔁D. Andreiout: B. Vatajelu
82'
🔁N. Herasout: B. Otelita
Vadim Rață
83'
88'
🔁R. Silaghiout: V. Daguin
88'
🔁H. Batzulaout: R. Cimpean
89'
⚽B. Otelitaassist: C. Davordzie
🔁F. Bortaout: C. Tofan
90+3'

Match stats — Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

54%Possession46%
16Shots7
2On target2
8Corners1
0.95xG0.65

Goals against chances

Arges Pitesti0 from 0.95 xGless than the chances were worth
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe1 from 0.65 xGabout what the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Arges Pitesti 3-1-4-2
  • 34C. CabuzG
  • 6M. TudoseD
  • 15GaruttiD
  • 23F. BortaD
  • 69O. AlagbeM
  • 92T. LuvamboM
  • 96S. BalaureM
  • 20P. DulceaM
  • 19C. MicovschiM
  • 17R. MatosF
  • 99R. MoldoveanuF
Substitutes
  • 1C. StratonG
  • 31M. SerbanG
  • 3L. SadriuD
  • 2C. TofanD
  • 26D. OanceaD
  • 22V. RataM
  • 80X. EmmersM
  • 16I. RadescuM
  • 9G. CharpentierF
Coach: Ioan Andone Bogdan
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4-4-2
  • 91D. LazarG
  • 2Gustavo CascardoD
  • 31L. RoseD
  • 4S. KaramokoD
  • 3F. ViannaD
  • 17D. AndreiM
  • 7R. SilaghiM
  • 6N. I. PaunM
  • 23H. Batzula
  • 20N. HerasF
  • 14M. MawaF
Substitutes
  • 33S. GyengeG
  • 21A. DobrosavleviciD
  • 5B. VatajeluD
  • 25B. OtelitaD
  • 19G. GhimfusM
  • 28V. DaguinM
  • 30A. NistorM
  • 11D. OberlinF
  • 88C. DavordzieF
Coach: Ovidiu Burca

Form going into Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

Arges Pitesti

All competitions we cover

  • L0-1away to Oțelul24 August 2026
  • D1-1Farul Constanta14 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Universitatea Craiova9 August 2026
  • W1-0Csikszereda31 July 2026
  • W1-0Petrolul Ploiesti24 July 2026

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1Farul Constanta23 August 2026
  • D0-0away to Csikszereda15 August 2026
  • D0-0FCSB10 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Corvinul Hunedoara2 August 2026
  • W1-0Universitatea Cluj26 July 2026

What these results say

  • Every one of these 5 matches for Arges Pitesti had two goals or fewer.
  • Arges Pitesti scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Every one of these 5 matches for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe had two goals or fewer.
  • Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
13Arges Pitesti154381017-715
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe154651120-918

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe

  • 5 November 2022Arges Pitesti 0–5 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 24 July 2022Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 15 December 2021Arges Pitesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 15 August 2021Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–2 Arges PitestiLiga I
  • 16 February 2021Arges Pitesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
  • 3 October 2020Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–0 Arges PitestiLiga I

The result against the call

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe won 1–0 at Arges Pitesti. The model had leaned towards a win for Arges Pitesti at 45% and given a win for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goal: B. Otelita 89' for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe. On expected goals it finished 0.95–0.65.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.