Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Liga I prediction & result
Final score: Arges Pitesti 0-1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Arges Pitesti, 29% draw, 26% Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe — fair odds of 2.22, 3.45 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Arges Pitesti at 45% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
- L0-1away to Oțelul24 August 2026
- D1-1Farul Constanta14 August 2026
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- D1-1Farul Constanta23 August 2026
- D0-0away to Csikszereda15 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Liga I table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Arges Pitesti | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 11 |
| 6 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 13 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Arges Pitesti vs Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 5 November 2022Arges Pitesti 0–5 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 24 July 2022Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 4–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 15 December 2021Arges Pitesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 15 August 2021Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–2 Arges PitestiLiga I
- 16 February 2021Arges Pitesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I
- 3 October 2020Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1–0 Arges PitestiLiga I
Leading scorers: Arges Pitesti and Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
- R. Moldoveanu3 goals
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
No player in Liga I's leading scorers — 7 league goals as a side.
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.