30 August 2026, 13:00 UTC

Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani Liga I prediction & result

Central Stadium Hagi Academy, Ovidiu
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Farul Constanta 0-0 FC Botosani.

Before kick-off the model made it 48% Farul Constanta, 26% draw, 26% FC Botosani — fair odds of 2.08, 3.85 and 3.85.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Farul Constanta at 48%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Farul Constanta6%Draw90%FC Botosani4%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

21'
Narcis Ilaș
Victor Dican
28'
Valentin Țicu
31'
39'
Ştefan Bodişteanu
⚽Denis Alibec (pen)
41'
•Denis Alibec
44'
🔁D. Sirbuout: E. Sylvestre
46'
58'
Lucas de Vega
🔁D. Alibecout: R. Marincean
59'
59'
🔁S. Mailatout: R. Idowu
63'
🔁S. Bodisteanuout: Z. Mitrov
70'
Mamadou Diarra
🔁V. Ticuout: C. Ganea
75'
🔁M. Ahlinviout: J. Vojtus
75'
🔁C. Simaout: R. Tanasa
75'
•Victor Dican
87'
90+4'
Roland Idowu
90'
🔁L. De Vegaout: J. Markovic
90'
🔁A. Dumiterout: M. Kovtalyuk

Match stats — Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani

48%Possession52%
17Shots14
6On target1
6Corners5
2.3xG2.28

Goals against chances

Farul Constanta0 from 2.30 xGless than the chances were worth
FC Botosani0 from 2.28 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

Farul Constanta 3-4-3
  • 12R. MunteanuG
  • 24S. BouzamouchaD
  • 6V. DicanD
  • 4Gustavo MarinsD
  • 22D. SirbuM
  • 23T. NjikeM
  • 70M. AhlinviM
  • 3V. TicuM
  • 28C. SimaF
  • 7D. AlibecF
  • 20E. RadaslavescuF
Substitutes
  • 1A. BuzbuchiG
  • 17I. LarieD
  • 33Joao FerreiraD
  • 11C. GaneaD
  • 13I. CercelD
  • 18L. BanuM
  • 10E. SylvestreF
  • 80N. PopescuM
  • 29A. GoncearM
Coach: Ioan Sabau
FC Botosani 4-3-3
  • 99G. AnestisG
  • 2B. J. BayeyeD
  • 4A. MironD
  • 94M. DiarraD
  • 73N. IlasD
  • 67E. PapaM
  • 3C. PetroM
  • 21L. De VegaM
  • 10S. BodisteanuF
  • 41A. DumiterF
  • 7S. MailatF
Substitutes
  • 27I. C. GurauG
  • 23E. DiawD
  • 44R. SadikuD
  • 5R. CretD
  • 25A. SuchianuD
  • 8R. IdowuM
  • 37M. BordeianuM
  • 77Gabriel GamaM
  • 14G. Sorodoc
Coach: Marius Croitoru

Form going into Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani

Farul Constanta

All competitions we cover

  • D1-1away to Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe23 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Arges Pitesti14 August 2026
  • W3-2Csikszereda8 August 2026
  • D2-2away to FCSB3 August 2026
  • W2-0Corvinul Hunedoara25 July 2026

FC Botosani

All competitions we cover

  • W1-0Csikszereda24 August 2026
  • L2-3away to FCSB17 August 2026
  • D0-0Corvinul Hunedoara10 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Universitatea Cluj3 August 2026
  • D1-1Rapid27 July 2026

What these results say

  • Farul Constanta went unbeaten through these 5 matches.
  • Farul Constanta scored in every one of these 5 matches.
  • Farul Constanta conceded in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Botosani failed to win 4 of these 5 matches.
  • FC Botosani scored in 4 of these 5 matches.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Liga I table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
6Farul Constanta156632422+224
12FC Botosani153661920-115

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Farul Constanta vs FC Botosani

  • 2 May 2026Farul Constanta 1–1 FC BotosaniLiga I
  • 11 January 2026FC Botosani 1–0 Farul ConstantaFriendlies Clubs
  • 7 November 2025Farul Constanta 2–0 FC BotosaniLiga I
  • 30 October 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Farul ConstantaCupa României
  • 14 July 2025FC Botosani 1–1 Farul ConstantaLiga I
  • 29 March 2025FC Botosani 4–3 Farul ConstantaLiga I

Leading scorers: Farul Constanta and FC Botosani

Farul Constanta

GoalsAssists

  • M. Ahlinvi71
  • E. Rădăslăvescu53

FC Botosani

GoalsAssists

  • A. Dumiter70

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Farul Constanta and FC Botosani drew 0–0. The model had leaned towards a win for Farul Constanta at 48% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. On expected goals it finished 2.30–2.28.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.