Real Betis vs Real Madrid La Liga prediction & result
Final score: Real Betis 1-0 Real Madrid.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Real Betis, 29% draw, 35% Real Madrid — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Real Betis at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Real Betis vs Real Madrid
Line-ups
- 1Álvaro VallésG
- 2Héctor BellerínD
- 3Diego LlorenteD
- 4NatanD
- 11Fran GarcíaD
- 6F. BernalM
- 21Marc RocaM
- 7AntonyM
- 22IscoM
- 8Pablo FornalsM
- 9C. HernándezF
- 18N. DeossaM
- 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
- 40A. de PabloG
- 15Álvaro FidalgoM
- 23Junior FirpoD
- 16V. GómezD
- 31Manu GonzálezG
- 14Iker LosadaF
- 27J. A. MoranteF
- 1T. CourtoisG
- 24D. DumfriesD
- 16I. KonatéD
- 4D. HuijsenD
- 17Marc CucurellaD
- 8F. ValverdeM
- 6E. CamavingaM
- 15A. GülerM
- 5J. BellinghamM
- 7Vinícius JúniorM
- 10Kylian MbappéF
- 20Bernardo SilvaM
- 25Y. DiomandeF
- 22A. RüdigerD
- 33Mario RivasD
- 31Javier NavarroG
- 38S. MartinezM
- 13A. LuninG
- 19Carlos EspíF
- 21Brahim DíazM
Form going into Real Betis vs Real Madrid
Real Betis
All competitions we cover
- L2-5away to Levante29 August 2026
- W1-0away to Valencia25 August 2026
- W1-0Real Sociedad21 August 2026
Real Madrid
All competitions we cover
- W4-0Malaga30 August 2026
- W4-1Real Sociedad26 August 2026
- W2-1away to Espanyol22 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
La Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 15 | +5 | 26 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Real Betis vs Real Madrid
- 24 April 2026Real Betis 1–1 Real MadridLa Liga
- 4 January 2026Real Madrid 5–1 Real BetisLa Liga
- 1 March 2025Real Betis 2–1 Real MadridLa Liga
- 1 September 2024Real Madrid 2–0 Real BetisLa Liga
- 25 May 2024Real Madrid 0–0 Real BetisLa Liga
Leading scorers: Real Betis and Real Madrid
Real Betis
No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.
Real Madrid
GoalsAssists
- Kylian Mbappé132
- J. Bellingham43
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Real Betis beat Real Madrid 1–0. The model had made a win for Real Betis its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Troy Parrott 81' for Real Betis.