4 September 2026, 19:00 UTC

Real Betis vs Real Madrid La Liga prediction & result

Estadio de La Cartuja, Sevilla
Full time1 – 0

Final score: Real Betis 1-0 Real Madrid.

Before kick-off the model made it 36% Real Betis, 29% draw, 35% Real Madrid — fair odds of 2.78, 3.45 and 2.86.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Real Betis at 36%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Real Betis96%Draw4%Real Madrid0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

🔁Diego Llorenteout: Marc Bartra
39'
45+3'
Arda Güler
54'
Ibrahima Konaté
54'
José Mário dos Santos Mourinho Félix
🔁Iscoout: Álvaro Fidalgo
60'
61'
Eduardo Camavinga
Facundo Bernal
64'
64'
🔁Eduardo Camavingaout: Bernardo Silva
64'
🔁Denzel Dumfriesout: Trent Alexander-Arnold
64'
🔁Arda Gülerout: Yan Diomande
🔁Facundo Bernalout: Nelson Deossa
68'
🔁Cucho Hernándezout: Troy Parrott
68'
🔁Antony Matheus dos Santosout: Rodrigo Riquelme
77'
⚽Troy Parrott
81'
82'
🔁Federico Valverdeout: Carlos Espí
Marc Roca
83'
88'
🔁Marc Cucurellaout: Álvaro Fernández Carreras
89'
•Carlos Espí
Natan Bernardo de Souza
90+3'
90+4'
⚽Kylian Mbappé (pen)
90+9'
Vinícius

Match stats — Real Betis vs Real Madrid

42%Possession58%
10Shots20
5On target8
6Corners10

Line-ups

Real Betis 4-2-3-1
  • 1Álvaro VallésG
  • 2Héctor BellerínD
  • 3Diego LlorenteD
  • 4NatanD
  • 11Fran GarcíaD
  • 6F. BernalM
  • 21Marc RocaM
  • 7AntonyM
  • 22IscoM
  • 8Pablo FornalsM
  • 9C. HernándezF
Substitutes
  • 18N. DeossaM
  • 17Rodrigo RiquelmeM
  • 40A. de PabloG
  • 15Álvaro FidalgoM
  • 23Junior FirpoD
  • 16V. GómezD
  • 31Manu GonzálezG
  • 14Iker LosadaF
  • 27J. A. MoranteF
Coach: M. Pellegrini
Real Madrid 4-2-3-1
  • 1T. CourtoisG
  • 24D. DumfriesD
  • 16I. KonatéD
  • 4D. HuijsenD
  • 17Marc CucurellaD
  • 8F. ValverdeM
  • 6E. CamavingaM
  • 15A. GülerM
  • 5J. BellinghamM
  • 7Vinícius JúniorM
  • 10Kylian MbappéF
Substitutes
  • 20Bernardo SilvaM
  • 25Y. DiomandeF
  • 22A. RüdigerD
  • 33Mario RivasD
  • 31Javier NavarroG
  • 38S. MartinezM
  • 13A. LuninG
  • 19Carlos EspíF
  • 21Brahim DíazM
Coach: José Mourinho

Form going into Real Betis vs Real Madrid

Real Betis

All competitions we cover

  • L2-5away to Levante29 August 2026
  • W1-0away to Valencia25 August 2026
  • W1-0Real Sociedad21 August 2026

Real Madrid

All competitions we cover

  • W4-0Malaga30 August 2026
  • W4-1Real Sociedad26 August 2026
  • W2-1away to Espanyol22 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

La Liga table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
4Real Betis128222015+526
2Real Madrid1210023110+2130

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Real Betis vs Real Madrid

  • 24 April 2026Real Betis 1–1 Real MadridLa Liga
  • 4 January 2026Real Madrid 5–1 Real BetisLa Liga
  • 1 March 2025Real Betis 2–1 Real MadridLa Liga
  • 1 September 2024Real Madrid 2–0 Real BetisLa Liga
  • 25 May 2024Real Madrid 0–0 Real BetisLa Liga

The full Real Betis vs Real Madrid record →

Leading scorers: Real Betis and Real Madrid

Real Betis

No player in La Liga's leading scorers — 20 league goals as a side.

Real Madrid

GoalsAssists

  • Kylian Mbappé132
  • J. Bellingham43

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

The result against the call

Real Betis beat Real Madrid 1–0. The model had made a win for Real Betis its most likely outcome, at 36%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: Troy Parrott 81' for Real Betis.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.