2 September 2026, 22:30 UTC

Flamengo vs Mirassol Serie A prediction & result

Rio de Janeiro
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Flamengo 2-0 Mirassol.

Before kick-off the model made it 46% Flamengo, 28% draw, 26% Mirassol — fair odds of 2.17, 3.57 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model called the result correctly.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Flamengo at 46% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Flamengo vs Mirassol

Flamengo

  • W3-0Botafogo30 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Cruzeiro22 August 2026

Mirassol

  • D1-1Palmeiras30 August 2026
  • D1-1away to Santos23 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Serie A table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Flamengo2717645322+3157
15Mirassol2778123142-1129

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Flamengo vs Mirassol

  • 16 August 2026Mirassol 1–5 FlamengoSerie A

Previous meetings on this site's own match record, which begins in July 2026 — any earlier meeting between these clubs is not listed here.

Leading scorers: Flamengo and Mirassol

Flamengo

  • Pedro15 goals5 assists
  • Samuel Lino9 goals7 assists

Mirassol

No player in Serie A's leading scorers — 31 league goals as a side.

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.