3 October 2026, 18:45 UTC

Rouen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 Ligue 3 prediction & result

Stade Robert Diochon, Rouen
Full time2 – 0

Final score: Rouen 2-0 Bourg-en-bresse 01.

Before kick-off the model made it 59% Rouen, 25% draw, 16% Bourg-en-bresse 01 — fair odds of 1.69, 4.00 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 2-0.

The model called the exact scoreline.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

Rouen at 59%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

Rouen99%Draw1%Bourg-en-bresse 010%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

C. Bassin
7'
N. Sommer
24'
⚽C. Bassin
33'
F. Mendy
52'
70'
🔁T. Ehlingout: N. Kintuntu
70'
🔁R. Souiciout: A. Krizoua
70'
🔁V. Lebas da Silvaout: O. Muepu
🔁G. Egnyout: I. Karamoko
72'
🔁W. Paciusout: A. Toure
72'
🔁J. Gasparout: S. Traore
77'
⚽B. Camara
80'
82'
🔁A. Gharbiout: A. Dihad
82'
🔁Y. Kanouteout: E. Alberto
🔁M. Tchokounteout: J. Viana
86'
🔁C. Bassinout: M. Borne
86'

Line-ups

Rouen
Coach: Regis Brouard
Bourg-en-bresse 01
Coach: Nicolas Rabuel

Form going into Rouen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01

Rouen

Ligue 3

  • L2-3away to Caen24 September 2026

Bourg-en-bresse 01

Ligue 3

  • D1-1Concarneau26 September 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ligue 3 table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
2Rouen12822229+1326
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138619-136

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Rouen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01

  • 6 March 2026Bourg-en-bresse 01 3–1 RouenLigue 3
  • 26 September 2025Rouen 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01Ligue 3
  • 12 April 2025Rouen 2–1 Bourg-en-bresse 01Ligue 3
  • 22 November 2024Bourg-en-bresse 01 0–1 RouenLigue 3
  • 9 February 2013Rouen 1–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01Ligue 3

The result against the call

Rouen beat Bourg-en-bresse 01 2–0. That was the exact score the model named before kick-off, with a win for Rouen at 59%. The goals: C. Bassin 33' for Rouen, B. Camara 80' for Rouen.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.