Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos Ligue 3 prediction & result
Final score: Le Puy Foot 1-0 Thionville Lusitanos.
Before kick-off the model made it 45% Le Puy Foot, 26% draw, 29% Thionville Lusitanos — fair odds of 2.22, 3.85 and 3.45.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Le Puy Foot at 45%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Line-ups
Form going into Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos
Le Puy Foot
Ligue 3
- L1-2away to Valenciennes26 September 2026
Thionville Lusitanos
Ligue 3
- L1-2La Roche VF26 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Ligue 3 table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Le Puy Foot | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 12 | +3 | 18 |
| 11 | Thionville Lusitanos | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 16 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
The result against the call
Le Puy Foot beat Thionville Lusitanos 1–0. The model had made a win for Le Puy Foot its most likely outcome, at 45%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goal: P. Nsingi 84' for Le Puy Foot.
Goal trends
Over 1.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
Both teams score
Outer rings: how often each side's most recent league matches before kick-off (up to 10 games; the count is under each ring) went over the line; middle ring: the model's probability for this match. Not betting advice. How to read this.