23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC

Castellón vs Sabadell Segunda División prediction & result

Estadio Municipal de Castalia
Full time0 – 0

Final score: Castellón 0-0 Sabadell.

Before kick-off the model made it 44% Castellón, 39% draw, 17% Sabadell — fair odds of 2.27, 2.56 and 5.88. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.

Most likely scoreline: 1-0.

The model got this one wrong.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

It puts Castellón at 44% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.

Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.

Form going into Castellón vs Sabadell

Castellón

  • W1-0away to Real Sociedad II14 August 2026

Sabadell

  • D0-0away to Sporting Gijon17 August 2026

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.

Segunda División table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
1Castellón541072+513
11Sabadell52214408

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Head-to-head: Castellón vs Sabadell

  • 18 July 2026Castellón 2–0 SabadellFriendlies Clubs
  • 16 April 2023Sabadell 3–1 CastellónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
  • 4 September 2022Castellón 3–1 SabadellPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
  • 12 March 2022Sabadell 1–3 CastellónPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
  • 19 December 2021Castellón 0–1 SabadellPrimera División RFEF - Group 2
  • 13 March 2021Castellón 2–1 SabadellSegunda División

Leading scorers: Castellón and Sabadell

Castellón

  • Ousmane Camara2 goals1 assists

Sabadell

  • N. Gioacchini3 goals

Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.