9 August 2026, 15:30 UTC

GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków Ekstraklasa prediction & result

Stadion miejski w Katowicach, Katowice
Referee: Marcin Kochanek
Full time2 – 1

Final score: GKS Katowice 2-1 Wieczysta Kraków.

Before kick-off the model made it 64% GKS Katowice, 20% draw, 16% Wieczysta Kraków — fair odds of 1.56, 5.00 and 6.25.

Most likely scoreline: 2-1.

Published · updated

Has the model earned this number?

GKS Katowice at 64%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.

How the model saw it, minute by minute

GKS Katowice97%Draw3%Wieczysta Kraków0%

Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 3 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.

Match analysis

Match timeline

⚽Ilia Shkurinassist: Bartosz Nowak
15'
45'
🔁José Antonio de la Rosa Garridoout: Efthymios Koulouris
🔁Mateusz·Kowalczykout: Bartosz Wolski
45'
62'
🔁Kamil Pestkaout: Matúš Vojtko
62'
🔁Tobias Christensenout: Bartosz Bialek
62'
⚽Bartosz Bialekassist: Duje Dujmovic
🔁Mateusz Wdowiakout: Borja Galan
63'
🔁Marcel Wedrychowskiout: Szymon bartlewicz
63'
68'
🔁Lisandro Semedoout: Ben Lederman
⚽Bartosz Nowakassist: Borja Galan
74'
🔁Alan Czerwińskiout: Arkadiusz Jedrych
79'
82'
🔁Antonio Milicout: Nikola·Knezevic
🔁Kacper Lukasiakout: Sebastian Milewski
85'

Match stats — GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków

44%Possession56%
10Shots18
2On target4
1Corners8
0.9xG2.57

Goals against chances

GKS Katowice2 from 0.90 xGmore than the chances were worth
Wieczysta Kraków1 from 2.57 xGless than the chances were worth

Expected goals totals what the openings were worth, so the gap between it and the score is the finishing — and the luck. Under half a goal either way is called level: xG is an estimate and a smaller gap than that is inside its own error.

Line-ups

GKS Katowice 3-4-3
  • 87G. KobylakG
  • 30A. CzerwińskiD
  • 6L. KlemenzD
  • 55Pau RestaD
  • 23M. WasielewskiM
  • 19K. ŁukasiakM
  • 77M. KowalczykM
  • 7M. WdowiakM
  • 10M. WędrychowskiF
  • 17I. ShkurinF
  • 27B. NowakF
Substitutes
  • 99A. ZreľákF
  • 31S. BartlewiczM
  • 8Borja GalánM
  • 4A. JędrychD
  • 97E. JirkaM
  • 1M. KikolskiG
  • 21Jakub KokosinskiF
  • 15E. MarkovićM
  • 22S. MilewskiM
Coach: R. Górak
Wieczysta Kraków 3-4-2-1
  • 77M. KochalskiG
  • 15A. ĐermanovićD
  • 16A. MilićD
  • 55D. DujmovićD
  • 4K. FilaM
  • 10T. ChristensenM
  • 20M. MaigaardM
  • 33K. PestkaM
  • 19José de la RosaM
  • 12Lucas PiazónM
  • 7Lisandro SemedoF
Substitutes
  • 17K. DankowskiD
  • 11N. KneževićM
  • 9E. KoulourisF
  • 8B. LedermanM
  • 88C. LungoyiF
  • 1A. MikułkoG
  • 97T. MrasM
  • 70P. PušićM
  • 27M. VojtkoD
Coach: Ž. Kopić

Form going into GKS Katowice vs Wieczysta Kraków

GKS Katowice

All competitions we cover

  • L0-2away to Hapoel Tel Aviv6 August 2026
  • W3-1Radomiak Radom2 August 2026
  • W3-1Žilina30 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Wisla Krakow26 July 2026
  • L1-2away to Žilina23 July 2026

Wieczysta Kraków

All competitions we cover

  • L1-2Lech Poznan1 August 2026
  • L1-2away to Radomiak Radom24 July 2026

What these results say

  • GKS Katowice conceded in every one of these 5 matches.
  • GKS Katowice scored in 4 of these 5 matches.
  • 4 of these 5 matches for GKS Katowice had three goals or more.

Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGFGAGDPts
8GKS Katowice147072520+521
18Wieczysta Kraków1422101828-108

Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table

Leading scorers: GKS Katowice and Wieczysta Kraków

GKS Katowice

GoalsAssists

  • I. Shkurin82
  • B. Nowak78

Wieczysta Kraków

GoalsAssists

  • Lucas Piazón42

Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.

Statistical estimate, not betting advice This prediction is generated from a statistical model for entertainment and informational purposes only. It does not guarantee any outcome and should not be used as the basis for placing a bet.