Sligo Rovers vs Galway United Premier Division prediction & result
Final score: Sligo Rovers 1-3 Galway United.
Before kick-off the model made it 37% Sligo Rovers, 30% draw, 33% Galway United — fair odds of 2.70, 3.33 and 3.03.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
All League of Ireland Premier Division predictions →
Has the model earned this number?
Sligo Rovers at 37%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 4 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Sligo Rovers vs Galway United
Line-ups
- 1Liam John HughesG
- 51Aidan GabbidonD
- 52G. McElroyD
- 16C. McHughD
- 3Sean StewartD
- 6L. YoungM
- 50Ruben GillespieM
- 10A. MeekisonM
- 14J. McManusM
- 7J. ShorrockM
- 11C. KavanaghF
- 15O. DenhamD
- 23K. McDonaghM
- 9L. PearceF
- 29S. SargeantG
- 41K. WooleryF
- 77Kevin ZefiF
- 61Conor CannonD
- 24J. O'DonnellF
- 49Jamie O'MalleyD
- 16Hugo Alberto Pires da CunhaG
- 15O. WilliamsD
- 2A. O'ConnorD
- 12Gianfranco FacchineriD
- 20L. DevittM
- 3Connor BarrattM
- 10D. HurleyM
- 8A. BolgerM
- 4J. KeohaneM
- 11K. TwardekF
- 7S. WalshF
- 23F. PierrotF
- 24E. McCarthyM
- 9F. LombotoF
- 17Junior ThiamM
- 30A. KazeemD
- 54C. WhittakerM
- 28J. MorahanD
- 21D. ConnollyF
- 32Vincent AngeliniG
Form going into Sligo Rovers vs Galway United
Sligo Rovers
All competitions we cover
- L0-2away to Drogheda United11 September 2026
Galway United
All competitions we cover
- L2-3Bohemians11 September 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first; context, not the model's input. How to read this.
Premier Division table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 66 | -38 | 25 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 10 | 12 | 14 | 46 | 53 | -7 | 42 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Sligo Rovers vs Galway United
- 11 July 2026Galway United 3–2 Sligo RoversPremier Division
- 16 May 2026Sligo Rovers 1–4 Galway UnitedPremier Division
- 27 February 2026Galway United 1–0 Sligo RoversPremier Division
- 24 January 2026Sligo Rovers 6–0 Galway UnitedFriendlies Clubs
- 22 September 2025Galway United 0–1 Sligo RoversPremier Division
Leading scorers: Sligo Rovers and Galway United
Sligo Rovers
No player in Premier Division's leading scorers — 28 league goals as a side.
Galway United
GoalsAssists
- K. Twardek86
- J. Keohane73
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Galway United won 3–1 at Sligo Rovers. The model had leaned towards a win for Sligo Rovers at 37% and given a win for Galway United 33%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 3 matches like this one. The goals: Cian Kavanagh 8' for Sligo Rovers, Jimmy Keohane (penalty) 18' for Galway United, Stephen Walsh 39' for Galway United, Jimmy Keohane (penalty) 86' for Galway United.
How the call on Sligo Rovers v Galway United has moved
First published on 1 Sep at 39% / 30% / 31% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 37% / 30% / 33%: the biggest move is Sligo Rovers's chance of winning, down 2 points.
- Sligo Rovers win37%▼ −2
- Draw30%=
- Galway United win33%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.