Dynamo vs FC Orenburg Premier League prediction & result
Final score: Dynamo 1-0 FC Orenburg.
Before kick-off the model made it 46% Dynamo, 29% draw, 25% FC Orenburg — fair odds of 2.17, 3.45 and 4.00. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the exact scoreline.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Dynamo at 46% here. Across 2477 settled matches, 1116 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 1 goal, and a card each of the 2 sendings-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Dynamo vs FC Orenburg
Line-ups
- 99A. LunevG
- 4J. CáceresD
- 55M. OsipenkoD
- 57David RicardoD
- 8RubensD
- 24L. ChávezM
- 15D. GlebovM
- 10BitelloM
- 91Y. GladyshevF
- 33I. SergeevF
- 11Arthur GomesF
- 74D. FominM
- 6R. FernándezD
- 28M. GutiérrezF
- 50A. KutitskiyM
- 31I. LeshchukG
- 5M. MajstorovićD
- 2N. MarichalD
- 60T. MarinkinM
- 88V. OkishorM
- 1B. OvsyannikovG
- 24M. SivisD
- 6J. PalaciosD
- 4D. KhotulevD
- 26E. TsenovD
- 78R. KulM
- 57E. BolotovM
- 77A. KasadzhikovM
- 27Renat GolybinM
- 20D. RybchinskiyM
- 30G. GuzinaF
- 3D. VedernikovD
- 10J. ThompsonM
- 44João SilvaD
- 80M. PykhcheevM
- 8D. PueblaM
- 11E. NazarenkoM
- 63O. MinatulaevM
- 22A. LukashovD
- 38A. KasimovD
Form going into Dynamo vs FC Orenburg
Dynamo
- W2-1Spartak Moscow6 September 2026
- W1-0away to Lokomotiv29 August 2026
- W3-1Rodina Moskva23 August 2026
- L0-3away to Zenit16 August 2026
FC Orenburg
- D2-2Akron6 September 2026
- D1-1away to Spartak Moscow30 August 2026
- D0-0away to Fakel22 August 2026
- D1-1Lokomotiv14 August 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Premier League table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +3 | 16 |
| 11 | FC Orenburg | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Dynamo vs FC Orenburg
- 12 September 2026Dynamo 1–0 FC OrenburgPremier League
- 7 July 2026Dynamo 2–1 FC OrenburgFriendlies Clubs
- 4 April 2026Dynamo 3–3 FC OrenburgPremier League
- 21 September 2025FC Orenburg 1–3 DynamoPremier League
- 29 March 2025Dynamo 5–1 FC OrenburgPremier League
- 1 September 2024FC Orenburg 2–2 DynamoPremier League
Leading scorers: Dynamo and FC Orenburg
Dynamo
No player in Premier League's leading scorers — 11 league goals as a side.
FC Orenburg
- A. Kasadzhikov2 goals1 assists
- R. Kul2 goals1 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.