SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: SSV Jahn Regensburg 5-0 Havelse.
Before kick-off the model made it 55% SSV Jahn Regensburg, 23% draw, 22% Havelse — fair odds of 1.82, 4.35 and 4.55.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
SSV Jahn Regensburg at 55%: of 1,648 settled 50–65% forecasts, 58.6% came in (average 55.4%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 5 goals, and a card each of the 1 sending-off. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse
Line-ups
- 1H. HermannG
- 37Leopold WurmD
- 5L. MühlD
- 31L. MätzlerD
- 25N. OliveiraM
- 29A. FeinM
- 35S. HingerlM
- 7O. SchönfelderM
- 8D. PhilippM
- 10N. BoujellabF
- 27L. HermesF
- 21Z. JánóM
- 13E. MajetschakM
- 20J. PosseltF
- 23M. SchmittG
- 40J. SeiboldM
- 22S. StolzeD
- 11M. WörnerF
- 34P. HobschF
- 26B. BauerD
- 13O. HaninG
- 22L. SommerD
- 15D. DuahD
- 4S. BelkahiaD
- 24Y. MausehundD
- 3M. LambyD
- 33J. TugbenyoM
- 8J. BergerM
- 10K. SchumacherM
- 23R. MüllerF
- 20Alexander GuiddirF
- 30T. FriedrichD
- 27I. NdukaD
- 11K. Okyere WriedtF
- 1T. OpitzG
- 9L. PaldinoF
- 7M. RichterM
- 28R. VelascoF
- 19E. VoufackD
- 14Y. WardakM
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 13 |
| 20 | Havelse | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 10 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse
- 21 March 2026SSV Jahn Regensburg 5–2 Havelse3. Liga
- 19 October 2025Havelse 1–2 SSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga
Leading scorers: SSV Jahn Regensburg and Havelse
SSV Jahn Regensburg
GoalsAssists
- L. Hermes62
- N. Boujellab34
Havelse
GoalsAssists
- K. Okyere Wriedt32
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SSV Jahn Regensburg beat Havelse 5–0. The model had made a win for SSV Jahn Regensburg its most likely outcome, at 55%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Nassim Boujellab 44' for SSV Jahn Regensburg, Nassim Boujellab 45+1' for SSV Jahn Regensburg, Adrian Fein (penalty) 52' for SSV Jahn Regensburg, Nassim Boujellab 75' for SSV Jahn Regensburg, Patrick Hobsch 88' for SSV Jahn Regensburg. Sent off: Ifeanyi David Nduka (Havelse) 51'.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave SSV Jahn Regensburg a 16.8% chance to finish in the bottom three: 14.3% after a win, 18.3% after a draw, 22.4% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 14.3%, 2.5 points lower than before the match.
For Havelse the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 70.6% going in: 61.1% after a win, 70.0% after a draw, 73.8% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 73.8%, 3.2 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on SSV Jahn Regensburg v Havelse has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 50% / 25% / 25% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 2 updates, it read 55% / 23% / 22%: the biggest move is SSV Jahn Regensburg's chance of winning, up 5 points.
- SSV Jahn Regensburg win55%▲ +5
- Draw23%▼ −2
- Havelse win22%▼ −3
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.