SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: SV Meppen 1-1 Stuttgart II.
Before kick-off the model made it 42% SV Meppen, 26% draw, 32% Stuttgart II — fair odds of 2.38, 3.85 and 3.13.
Most likely scoreline: 2-1.
The model got this one wrong.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
SV Meppen at 42%: of 2,957 settled 40–50% forecasts, 46.1% came in (average 43.9%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II
Line-ups
- 44J. PüntG
- 2Dominique DomroseD
- 19L. SprekelmeyerD
- 33Stefan rankicD
- 3T. MißnerD
- 40N. NadjM
- 6E. ZehirM
- 31L. PrasseM
- 14T. DetersM
- 7O. SchmittM
- 9C. AkonoF
- 4Jona BorsumM
- 39F. BährD
- 1N. OberbeckG
- 11S. EngelmannF
- 5J. FedlD
- 10K. GhawiluM
- 13R. MeierF
- 20N. TougloD
- 23N. WesselsM
- 1Jerik von der FelsenG
- 17A. JanjicD
- 6A. GroißD
- 31V. StangeD
- 13Tim KöhlerD
- 7L. PennaM
- 10N. SessaM
- 24Joyeux Masanka BungiM
- 27Jarzinho Ataide Adriano de Nascimento MalangaF
- 9T. van der LeijF
- 11Oliver RölkeF
- 22J. BockG
- 18J. LuersM
- 30J. MajchrzakF
- 29D. NothnagelD
- 37David PreuD
- 39E. RedzepiF
- 40P. ReinhardtD
- 23Collin SchrammD
- 42Brayann KenmoeF
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | SV Meppen | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 18 |
| 12 | Stuttgart II | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 18 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Leading scorers: SV Meppen and Stuttgart II
SV Meppen
No player in 3. Liga's leading scorers — 18 league goals as a side.
Stuttgart II
GoalsAssists
- T. van der Leij40
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
SV Meppen and Stuttgart II drew 1–1. The model had leaned towards a win for SV Meppen at 42% and given a draw 26%. At that figure it expects the outcome about once in every 4 matches like this one. The goals: Jarzinho Malanga 15' for Stuttgart II, Oliver Issa Schmitt 42' for SV Meppen.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave SV Meppen a 47.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 40.1% after a win, 49.6% after a draw, 54.4% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 49.6%, 2.5 points higher than before the match.
For Stuttgart II the question was the chance to finish in the bottom three, 26.8% going in: 20.4% after a win, 26.3% after a draw, 30.8% after a defeat. The draw was the middle one of the three, and left the figure at 26.3%, 0.5 points lower than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on SV Meppen v Stuttgart II has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 40% / 27% / 33% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 42% / 26% / 32%: the biggest move is SV Meppen's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- SV Meppen win42%▲ +2
- Draw26%▼ −1
- Stuttgart II win32%▼ −1
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.