Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock 3. Liga prediction & result
Final score: Würzburger Kickers 0-2 Hansa Rostock.
Before kick-off the model made it 36% Würzburger Kickers, 25% draw, 39% Hansa Rostock — fair odds of 2.78, 4.00 and 2.56.
Most likely scoreline: 1-2.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
Hansa Rostock at 39%: of 4,828 settled 30–40% forecasts, 33.4% came in (average 33.7%). It can be read literally. The full record.
How the model saw it, minute by minute
Rebuilt after the match from the model's pre-match expected goals, frozen in the log before kick-off, plus the score and cards as they stood at each minute — never anything later. A ball marks each of the 2 goals. The same replay scores the in-play model on the track record.
Match analysis
Match timeline
Match stats — Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock
Line-ups
- 33M. RajkovačićG
- 4N. De MedinaD
- 16L. BreunigD
- 28E. FarahnakD
- 3D. AbrangaoD
- 37I. FranjićM
- 8D. KinsombiM
- 27Xaver KiefersauerM
- 18F. EvinaM
- 19T. KastanarasF
- 30T. BongaF
- 5L. EberleD
- 21L. HemmerichD
- 1Johann HipperG
- 34Burak KarakayaD
- 31T. KrausM
- 7E. MutebaF
- 9Jermain NischalkeF
- 13P. OchsM
- 17L. OmoreF
- 1L. UnbehaunG
- 8Ouassim KaradaD
- 15A. GürleyenD
- 17F. CarstensD
- 32N. KölleD
- 5M. SchusterM
- 4K. FatkićM
- 35M. KraußM
- 27D. KopaczM
- 43L. DajakuM
- 9A. VoglsammerF
- 37M. BrzozowskiM
- 22L. ReichardtD
- 42B. DietzeM
- 6J. DirknerM
- 11E. HoltenF
- 7B. LennemannF
- 41Y. MichaelisF
- 25P. KlewinG
- 23F. PfanneD
3. Liga table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Würzburger Kickers | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 14 |
| 10 | Hansa Rostock | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 22 | 0 | 19 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock
- 27 June 2020FC Wurzburger Kickers 3–1 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 30 November 2019Hansa Rostock 1–0 FC Wurzburger Kickers3. Liga
- 17 February 2019FC Wurzburger Kickers 0–2 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
- 25 August 2018Hansa Rostock 0–4 FC Wurzburger Kickers3. Liga
- 10 February 2018Hansa Rostock 3–1 FC Wurzburger Kickers3. Liga
- 20 August 2017FC Wurzburger Kickers 0–3 Hansa Rostock3. Liga
Leading scorers: Würzburger Kickers and Hansa Rostock
Würzburger Kickers
GoalsAssists
- T. Bonga41
Hansa Rostock
GoalsAssists
- A. Voglsammer41
Top 3 by league goals this season; player availability is not in the model. How to read this.
The result against the call
Hansa Rostock won 2–0 at Würzburger Kickers. The model had made a win for Hansa Rostock its most likely outcome, at 39%, so the call held; the score it named was 2–1. The goals: Marco Schuster 76' for Hansa Rostock, Kenan Fatkic (penalty) 90+3' for Hansa Rostock.
What this result changed
Before kick-off the season simulation gave Würzburger Kickers a 21.1% chance to finish in the bottom three: 16.0% after a win, 21.6% after a draw, 24.6% after a defeat. The defeat was the worst of those results for them, and left the figure at 24.6%, 3.5 points higher than before the match.
For Hansa Rostock the question was the chance to finish in the top four, 33.3% going in: 38.2% after a win, 31.8% after a draw, 27.8% after a defeat. The win was the best of those results for them, and left the figure at 38.2%, 4.9 points higher than before the match.
Read from our 3. Liga season simulation as it stood before this match (10,000 runs), counting this result alone. Every result since then has moved the table again, so today's figure is on the competition page.
How the call on Würzburger Kickers v Hansa Rostock has moved
First published on 2 Oct at 36% / 27% / 37% (home / draw / away). By kick-off, after 1 update, it read 36% / 25% / 39%: the biggest move is Hansa Rostock's chance of winning, up 2 points.
- Würzburger Kickers win36%=
- Draw25%▼ −2
- Hansa Rostock win39%▲ +2
Each update is a full rebuild of both sides' ratings from the latest results, and now and then a change to the model itself. The thin mark is the first published figure.