St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: St. Louis City 2-1 Houston Dynamo.
Before kick-off the model made it 41% St. Louis City, 33% draw, 26% Houston Dynamo — fair odds of 2.44, 3.03 and 3.85. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 1-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts St. Louis City at 41% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 1122 forecasts have landed in the 40–50% band; those outcomes actually happened 44.4% of the time, against an average forecast of 43.8%. In this range the two line up, so the figure above can be read literally.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
- D1-1away to Sporting Kansas City20 August 2026
- W3-1away to San Jose Earthquakes16 August 2026
- D1-1Real Salt Lake2 August 2026
- W1-0Colorado Rapids26 July 2026
- W3-1away to Los Angeles Galaxy23 July 2026
Houston Dynamo
- W1-0away to Vancouver Whitecaps20 August 2026
- W1-0Los Angeles Galaxy16 August 2026
- W2-0away to New England Revolution8 August 2026
- W2-0away to Sporting Kansas City2 August 2026
- W3-0Austin26 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | St. Louis City | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 42 | 35 | +7 | 41 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 32 | 28 | +4 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo
- 20 May 2026St. Louis City 2–2 Houston DynamoUS Open Cup
- 31 August 2025St. Louis City 2–3 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 29 June 2025Houston Dynamo 1–0 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- 6 October 2024St. Louis City 3–0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- 5 May 2024Houston Dynamo 0–0 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
- 28 February 2024Houston Dynamo 1–0 St. Louis CityCONCACAF Champions League
Leading scorers: St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo
St. Louis City
No player in Major League Soccer's leading scorers — 42 league goals as a side.
Houston Dynamo
- Guilherme13 goals6 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.