Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas Major League Soccer prediction & result
Final score: Vancouver Whitecaps 5-0 FC Dallas.
Before kick-off the model made it 69% Vancouver Whitecaps, 19% draw, 12% FC Dallas — fair odds of 1.45, 5.26 and 8.33. Fair odds are simply 100 ÷ the probability; they are the model's own number, not a bookmaker's price.
Most likely scoreline: 2-0.
The model called the result correctly.
Published · updated
Has the model earned this number?
It puts Vancouver Whitecaps at 69% here. Across 2485 settled matches, 276 forecasts have landed in the 65–100% band; those outcomes actually happened 60.1% of the time, against an average forecast of 74.5%. In this range the model is over-confident, so read the figure above as optimistic rather than literal.
Every settled prediction on this site is scored against an uninformed baseline, band by band, and published whether or not it flatters the model — see the full record.
Form going into Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
- L0-1Houston Dynamo20 August 2026
- W2-0away to Seattle Sounders17 August 2026
- D1-1Los Angeles FC1 August 2026
- D0-0away to Minnesota United FC26 July 2026
- L3-4away to FC Cincinnati22 July 2026
FC Dallas
- W4-3away to Real Salt Lake20 August 2026
- W2-1away to Austin17 August 2026
- D0-0away to Los Angeles Galaxy2 August 2026
- L0-1away to San Diego26 July 2026
- D2-2away to Portland Timbers23 July 2026
Up to 5 matches before kick-off, most recent first. The model works from each side's rolling expected-goals ratings rather than from these results directly, so read them as context — how the ratings are built.
Major League Soccer table
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 23 | +30 | 46 |
| 3 | FC Dallas | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 49 | 42 | +7 | 43 |
Where the two sides stand today, not on the day of this match. Full table
Head-to-head: Vancouver Whitecaps vs FC Dallas
- 14 May 2026FC Dallas 2–3 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 2 November 2025FC Dallas 1–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 26 October 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 3–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 19 October 2025Vancouver Whitecaps 1–2 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
- 16 March 2025FC Dallas 0–1 Vancouver WhitecapsMajor League Soccer
- 8 September 2024Vancouver Whitecaps 0–0 FC DallasMajor League Soccer
Leading scorers: Vancouver Whitecaps and FC Dallas
Vancouver Whitecaps
- B. White15 goals2 assists
FC Dallas
- P. Musa18 goals5 assists
Top 3 by league goals this season. Player availability is not part of the model — injuries and suspensions are a planned improvement.